# Making Substitute Models More Bayesian Can Enhance Transferability of Adversarial Examples

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2302.05086 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.05086/

## Key facts

- Cited by 32 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 66 of its 75 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Feb 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 66)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [An Image is Worth 16x16 Words: Transformers for Image Recognition at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.11929/) (2020)
- [Very Deep Convolutional Networks for Large-Scale Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.1556/) (2014)
- [Swin Transformer: Hierarchical Vision Transformer using Shifted Windows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.14030/) (2021)
- [ImageNet Large Scale Visual Recognition Challenge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.0575/) (2014)
- [Explaining and Harnessing Adversarial Examples](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6572/) (2014)
- [Densely Connected Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1608.06993/) (2016)
- [EfficientNet: Rethinking Model Scaling for Convolutional Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.11946/) (2019)
- [Towards Deep Learning Models Resistant to Adversarial Attacks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.06083/) (2017)
- [Rethinking the Inception Architecture for Computer Vision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.00567/) (2015)
- [Intriguing properties of neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1312.6199/) (2013)
- [MobileNetV2: Inverted Residuals and Linear Bottlenecks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.04381/) (2018)
- [Squeeze-and-Excitation Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.01507/) (2017)
- [Overcoming catastrophic forgetting in neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.00796/) (2016)
- [Training data-efficient image transformers & distillation through attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.12877/) (2020)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [Wide Residual Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1605.07146/) (2016)
- [Towards Evaluating the Robustness of Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1608.04644/) (2016)
- [Aggregated Residual Transformations for Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.05431/) (2016)
- [BEiT: BERT Pre-Training of Image Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.08254/) (2021)
- [What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.04977/) (2017)
- [Certified Adversarial Robustness via Randomized Smoothing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.02918/) (2019)
- [Obfuscated Gradients Give a False Sense of Security: Circumventing Defenses to Adversarial Examples](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.00420/) (2018)
- [Averaging Weights Leads to Wider Optima and Better Generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.05407/) (2018)
- [MnasNet: Platform-Aware Neural Architecture Search for Mobile](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.11626/) (2018)
- [Adversarial Machine Learning at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.01236/) (2016)
- [Fast is better than free: Revisiting adversarial training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.03994/) (2020)
- [Improving Transferability of Adversarial Examples with Input Diversity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.06978/) (2018)
- [A Simple Baseline for Bayesian Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.02476/) (2019)

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 32)

- [A Survey on Transferability of Adversarial Examples across Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.17626/) (2023)
- [SA-Attack: Improving Adversarial Transferability of Vision-Language Pre-training Models via Self-Augmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.04913/) (2023)
- [Why Does Little Robustness Help? A Further Step Towards Understanding Adversarial Transferability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.07873/) (2023)
- [Improving Adversarial Transferability via Intermediate-level Perturbation Decay](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.13410/) (2023)
- [Transferable Adversarial Attacks on SAM and Its Downstream Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.20197/) (2024)
- [Improved Generation of Adversarial Examples Against Safety-aligned LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.20778/) (2024)
- [Mitigating the Curse of Dimensionality for Certified Robustness via Dual Randomized Smoothing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.09586/) (2024)
- [Reliable Evaluation of Adversarial Transferability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.08565/) (2023)
- [Improving Adversarial Transferability via Model Alignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.18495/) (2023)
- [Improving the Transferability of Adversarial Examples via Direction Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.15109/) (2023)
- [Scaling Laws for Black box Adversarial Attacks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.16782/) (2024)
- [TASAR: Transfer-based Attack on Skeletal Action Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.02483/) (2024)
- [Understanding Model Ensemble in Transferable Adversarial Attack](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.06851/) (2024)
- [Improving Adversarial Transferability on Vision Transformers via Forward Propagation Refinement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.15404/) (2025)
- [Towards Evaluating Transfer-based Attacks Systematically, Practically, and Fairly](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.01323/) (2023)
- [Adversarial Example Soups: Improving Transferability and Stealthiness for Free](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.18370/) (2024)
- [LRS: Enhancing Adversarial Transferability through Lipschitz Regularized Surrogate](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.13118/) (2023)
- [Exploring Adversarial Transferability between Kolmogorov-arnold Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.06276/) (2025)
- [Harnessing the Computation Redundancy in ViTs to Boost Adversarial Transferability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.10804/) (2025)
- [Improving Transferability of Adversarial Examples via Bayesian Attacks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.11334/) (2023)
- [Towards Deep Learning Models Resistant to Transfer-based Adversarial Attacks via Data-centric Robust Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.09891/) (2023)
- [Model Mimic Attack: Knowledge Distillation for Provably Transferable Adversarial Examples](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.15889/) (2024)
- [SoK: Analyzing Adversarial Examples: A Framework to Study Adversary Knowledge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.14937/) (2024)
- [Enhancing Adversarial Transferability via Component-Wise Transformation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.11901/) (2025)
- [Certified vs. Empirical Adversarial Robust-ness via Hybrid Convolutions with Attention Stochasticity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.01519/) (2026)
- [Boosting Adversarial Transferability for Skeleton-based Action Recognition via Exploring the Model Posterior Space](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.08572/) (2024)
- [Transferable 3D Adversarial Shape Completion using Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.10077/) (2024)
- [Seeking Flat Minima over Diverse Surrogates for Improved Adversarial Transferability: A Theoretical Framework and Algorithmic Instantiation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.16474/) (2025)
- [Devling into Adversarial Transferability on Image Classification: Review, Benchmark, and Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.23117/) (2026)
- [Contract And Conquer: How to Provably Compute Adversarial Examples for a Black-Box Model?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.10689/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The transferability of adversarial examples across deep neural networks (DNNs) is the crux of many black-box attacks. Many prior efforts have been devoted to improving the transferability via increasing the diversity in inputs of some substitute models. In this paper, by contrast, we opt for the diversity in substitute models and advocate to attack a Bayesian model for achieving desirable transferability. Deriving from the Bayesian formulation, we develop a principled strategy for possible finetuning, which can be combined with many off-the-shelf Gaussian posterior approximations over DNN parameters. Extensive experiments have been conducted to verify the effectiveness of our method, on common benchmark datasets, and the results demonstrate that our method outperforms recent state-of-the-arts by large margins (roughly 19% absolute increase in average attack success rate on ImageNet), and, by combining with these recent methods, further performance gain can be obtained. Our code: https://github.com/qizhangli/MoreBayesian-attack.
