# Planning Multiple Epidemic Interventions with Reinforcement Learning

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2301.12802 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.12802/

## Key facts

- Cited by 5 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 12 of its 59 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 30 Jan 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.06347/) (2017)
- [Soft Actor-Critic: Off-Policy Maximum Entropy Deep Reinforcement Learning with a Stochastic Actor](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.01290/) (2018)
- [Benchmarking Model-Based Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.02057/) (2019)
- [What Matters In On-Policy Reinforcement Learning? A Large-Scale Empirical Study](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.05990/) (2020)
- [On the Complexity of Solving Markov Decision Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1302.4971/) (2013)
- [Reinforcement Learning for Optimization of COVID-19 Mitigation policies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.10560/) (2020)
- [Deep reinforcement learning for large-scale epidemic control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.13676/) (2020)
- [EpidemiOptim: A Toolbox for the Optimization of Control Policies in Epidemiological Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.04452/) (2020)
- [Optimising Lockdown Policies for Epidemic Control using Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.14093/) (2020)
- [Reinforced Epidemic Control: Saving Both Lives and Economy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.01257/) (2020)
- [COVID-19 Pandemic Cyclic Lockdown Optimization Using Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.04647/) (2020)
- [A Microscopic Epidemic Model and Pandemic Prediction Using Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.12959/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 5 of 5)

- [Optimizing Interventions for Agent-Based Infectious Disease Simulations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.02016/) (2026)
- [Optimization of Infectious Disease Intervention Measures Based on Reinforcement Learning -- Empirical analysis based on UK COVID-19 epidemic data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.04161/) (2025)
- [Learning Pareto-Optimal Pandemic Intervention Policies with MORL](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.03340/) (2025)
- [Reward Engineering for Spatial Epidemic Simulations: A Reinforcement Learning Platform for Individual Behavioral Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.18000/) (2025)
- [EpiWorld: Grounding LLM Policy Agents in Epidemiological World Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.02744/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Combating an epidemic entails finding a plan that describes when and how to apply different interventions, such as mask-wearing mandates, vaccinations, school or workplace closures. An optimal plan will curb an epidemic with minimal loss of life, disease burden, and economic cost. Finding an optimal plan is an intractable computational problem in realistic settings. Policy-makers, however, would greatly benefit from tools that can efficiently search for plans that minimize disease and economic costs especially when considering multiple possible interventions over a continuous and complex action space given a continuous and equally complex state space. We formulate this problem as a Markov decision process. Our formulation is unique in its ability to represent multiple continuous interventions over any disease model defined by ordinary differential equations. We illustrate how to effectively apply state-of-the-art actor-critic reinforcement learning algorithms (PPO and SAC) to search for plans that minimize overall costs. We empirically evaluate the learning performance of these algorithms and compare their performance to hand-crafted baselines that mimic plans constructed by policy-makers. Our method outperforms baselines. Our work confirms the viability of a computational approach to support policy-makers
