# Availability Adversarial Attack and Countermeasures for Deep Learning-based Load Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2301.01832 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.01832/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 10 of its 22 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 4 Jan 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 10 of 10)

- [Explaining and Harnessing Adversarial Examples](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6572/) (2014)
- [Towards Deep Learning Models Resistant to Adversarial Attacks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.06083/) (2017)
- [Intriguing properties of neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1312.6199/) (2013)
- [Theoretically Principled Trade-off between Robustness and Accuracy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.08573/) (2019)
- [CVXPY: A Python-Embedded Modeling Language for Convex Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.00943/) (2016)
- [On the Effectiveness of Interval Bound Propagation for Training Verifiably Robust Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.12715/) (2018)
- [Adversarial Attacks on Deep Neural Networks for Time Series Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.07054/) (2019)
- [Certified Monotonic Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.10219/) (2020)
- [Cost-Oriented Load Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.01861/) (2021)
- [Cyber Risk Analysis of Combined Data Attacks Against Power System State Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1708.08349/) (2017)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [Learning Data-Driven Uncertainty Set Partitions for Robust and Adaptive Energy Forecasting with Missing Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.20410/) (2025)
- [Marginalize, Rather than Impute: Probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting with Incomplete Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.03631/) (2024)
- [Learning-Augmented Power System Operations: A Unified Optimization View](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.05203/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The forecast of electrical loads is essential for the planning and operation of the power system. Recently, advances in deep learning have enabled more accurate forecasts. However, deep neural networks are prone to adversarial attacks. Although most of the literature focuses on integrity-based attacks, this paper proposes availability-based adversarial attacks, which can be more easily implemented by attackers. For each forecast instance, the availability attack position is optimally solved by mixed-integer reformulation of the artificial neural network. To tackle this attack, an adversarial training algorithm is proposed. In simulation, a realistic load forecasting dataset is considered and the attack performance is compared to the integrity-based attack. Meanwhile, the adversarial training algorithm is shown to significantly improve robustness against availability attacks. All codes are available at https://github.com/xuwkk/AAA_Load_Forecast.
