# Towards Reliable Medical Image Segmentation by Modeling Evidential Calibrated Uncertainty

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2301.00349 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.00349/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 28 of its 54 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 1 Jan 2023.

## Builds on (most cited first, 28 of 28)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04599/) (2017)
- [Fully Convolutional Networks for Semantic Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1411.4038/) (2014)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.04977/) (2017)
- [V-Net: Fully Convolutional Neural Networks for Volumetric Medical Image Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.04797/) (2016)
- [Attention U-Net: Learning Where to Look for the Pancreas](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.03999/) (2018)
- [UNETR: Transformers for 3D Medical Image Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.10504/) (2021)
- [Evidential Deep Learning to Quantify Classification Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.01768/) (2018)
- [ADVENT: Adversarial Entropy Minimization for Domain Adaptation in Semantic Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.12833/) (2018)
- [The Liver Tumor Segmentation Benchmark (LiTS)](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.04056/) (2019)
- [Uncertainty-aware Self-ensembling Model for Semi-supervised 3D Left Atrium Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.07034/) (2019)
- [A Probabilistic U-Net for Segmentation of Ambiguous Images](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.05034/) (2018)
- [Aleatoric uncertainty estimation with test-time augmentation for medical image segmentation with convolutional neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.07356/) (2018)
- [TransBTS: Multimodal Brain Tumor Segmentation Using Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.04430/) (2021)
- [nnFormer: Interleaved Transformer for Volumetric Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.03201/) (2021)
- [Trusted Multi-View Classification with Dynamic Evidential Fusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.11423/) (2022)
- [Exploring Uncertainty Measures in Deep Networks for Multiple Sclerosis Lesion Detection and Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1808.01200/) (2018)
- [Evaluating Bayesian Deep Learning Methods for Semantic Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.12709/) (2018)
- [Improving model calibration with accuracy versus uncertainty optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.07923/) (2020)
- [CA-Net: Comprehensive Attention Convolutional Neural Networks for Explainable Medical Image Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.10549/) (2020)
- [Assessing Reliability and Challenges of Uncertainty Estimations for Medical Image Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.03338/) (2019)
- [Bayesian QuickNAT: Model Uncertainty in Deep Whole-Brain Segmentation for Structure-wise Quality Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.09800/) (2018)
- [Automatic Brain Tumor Segmentation using Convolutional Neural Networks with Test-Time Augmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.07884/) (2018)
- [TBraTS: Trusted Brain Tumor Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.09309/) (2022)
- [3D RoI-aware U-Net for Accurate and Efficient Colorectal Tumor Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.10342/) (2018)
- [Beyond CNNs: Exploiting Further Inherent Symmetries in Medical Image Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.14472/) (2022)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [MedSAM-U: Uncertainty-Guided Auto Multi-Prompt Adaptation for Reliable MedSAM](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.00924/) (2024)
- [SAM-U: Multi-box prompts triggered uncertainty estimation for reliable SAM in medical image](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.04973/) (2023)
- [Uncertainty-Aware Pedestrian Attribute Recognition via Evidential Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.26873/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Medical image segmentation is critical for disease diagnosis and treatment assessment. However, concerns regarding the reliability of segmentation regions persist among clinicians, mainly attributed to the absence of confidence assessment, robustness, and calibration to accuracy. To address this, we introduce DEviS, an easily implementable foundational model that seamlessly integrates into various medical image segmentation networks. DEviS not only enhances the calibration and robustness of baseline segmentation accuracy but also provides high-efficiency uncertainty estimation for reliable predictions. By leveraging subjective logic theory, we explicitly model probability and uncertainty for medical image segmentation. Here, the Dirichlet distribution parameterizes the distribution of probabilities for different classes of the segmentation results. To generate calibrated predictions and uncertainty, we develop a trainable calibrated uncertainty penalty. Furthermore, DEviS incorporates an uncertainty-aware filtering module, which designs the metric of uncertainty-calibrated error to filter out-of-distribution data. We conducted validation studies on publicly available datasets, including ISIC2018, KiTS2021, LiTS2017, and BraTS2019, to assess the accuracy and robustness of different backbone segmentation models enhanced by DEviS, as well as the efficiency and reliability of uncertainty estimation.