# Demystifying Advertising Campaign Bid Recommendation: A Constraint target CPA Goal Optimization

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2212.13915 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.13915/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 5 of its 35 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 26 Dec 2022.

## Builds on (most cited first, 5 of 5)

- [Optimized Cost per Click in Taobao Display Advertising](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.02091/) (2017)
- [Distributed Clustering of Linear Bandits in Peer to Peer Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1604.07706/) (2016)
- [On Context-Dependent Clustering of Bandits](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1608.03544/) (2016)
- [A Field Guide to Personalized Reserve Prices](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.07720/) (2016)
- [Sponsored Search Auctions with Rich Ads](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1701.05948/) (2017)

## Abstract (arXiv)

In cost-per-click (CPC) or cost-per-impression (CPM) advertising campaigns, advertisers always run the risk of spending the budget without getting enough conversions. Moreover, the bidding on advertising inventory has few connections with propensity one that can reach to target cost-per-acquisition (tCPA) goals. To address this problem, this paper presents a bid optimization scenario to achieve the desired tCPA goals for advertisers. In particular, we build the optimization engine to make a decision by solving the rigorously formalized constrained optimization problem, which leverages the bid landscape model learned from rich historical auction data using non-parametric learning. The proposed model can naturally recommend the bid that meets the advertisers' expectations by making inference over advertisers' historical auction behaviors, which essentially deals with the data challenges commonly faced by bid landscape modeling: incomplete logs in auctions, and uncertainty due to the variation and fluctuations in advertising bidding behaviors. The bid optimization model outperforms the baseline methods on real-world campaigns, and has been applied into a wide range of scenarios for performance improvement and revenue liftup.
