# True Detective: A Deep Abductive Reasoning Benchmark Undoable for GPT-3 and Challenging for GPT-4

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2212.10114 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.10114/

## Key facts

- Cited by 19 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Reasoning benchmarks and evaluation, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning.
- Builds on 13 of its 23 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 20 Dec 2022.

## Placed in

- LLM reasoning / [Reasoning benchmarks and evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/lr/reasoning-benchmarks-and-evaluation/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 13 of 13)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [Training language models to follow instructions with human feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.02155/) (2022)
- [Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.11903/) (2022)
- [PaLM: Scaling Language Modeling with Pathways](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.02311/) (2022)
- [Large Language Models are Zero-Shot Reasoners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.11916/) (2022)
- [A Broad-Coverage Challenge Corpus for Sentence Understanding through Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.05426/) (2017)
- [Learning to summarize from human feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.01325/) (2020)
- [Beyond the Imitation Game: Quantifying and extrapolating the capabilities of language models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.04615/) (2022)
- [A large annotated corpus for learning natural language inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1508.05326/) (2015)
- [A Corpus and Evaluation Framework for Deeper Understanding of Commonsense Stories](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1604.01696/) (2016)
- [SWAG: A Large-Scale Adversarial Dataset for Grounded Commonsense Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1808.05326/) (2018)
- [Abductive Commonsense Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.05739/) (2019)

## Built on by (most cited first, 19 of 19)

- [Unleashing the potential of prompt engineering for large language models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.14735/) (2023)
- [Which of These Best Describes Multiple Choice Evaluation with LLMs? A) Forced B) Flawed C) Fixable D) All of the Above](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.14127/) (2025)
- [Puzzle Solving using Reasoning of Large Language Models: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.11291/) (2024)
- [Toward Generalizable Evaluation in the LLM Era: A Survey Beyond Benchmarks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.18838/) (2025)
- [DetectiveQA: Evaluating Long-Context Reasoning on Detective Novels](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.02465/) (2024)
- [LogiDynamics: Unraveling the Dynamics of Inductive, Abductive and Deductive Logical Inferences in LLM Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.11176/) (2025)
- [Controllable Logical Hypothesis Generation for Abductive Reasoning in Knowledge Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.20948/) (2025)
- [Unifying Deductive and Abductive Reasoning in Knowledge Graphs with Masked Diffusion Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.11462/) (2025)
- [Soft Contamination Means Benchmarks Test Shallow Generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.12413/) (2026)
- [Evaluating the Logical Reasoning Abilities of Large Reasoning Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.11854/) (2025)
- [Unveiling Narrative Reasoning Limits of Large Language Models with Trope in Movie Synopses](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.14324/) (2024)
- [Wiring the 'Why': A Unified Taxonomy and Survey of Abductive Reasoning in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.08016/) (2026)
- [The Jumping Reasoning Curve? Tracking the Evolution of Reasoning Performance in GPT-[n] and o-[n] Models on Multimodal Puzzles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.01081/) (2025)
- [TurnaboutLLM: A Deductive Reasoning Benchmark from Detective Games](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.15712/) (2025)
- [Socrates or Smartypants: Testing Logic Reasoning Capabilities of Large Language Models with Logic Programming-based Test Oracles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.12312/) (2025)
- [Self-Awareness before Action: Mitigating Logical Inertia via Proactive Cognitive Awareness](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.20413/) (2026)
- [The Challenge and Reward of Fair Play in Narrative: A Computational Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.13841/) (2025)
- [HypoAgent: An Agentic Framework for Interactive Abductive Hypothesis Generation over Knowledge Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.31370/) (2026)
- [EVAR: Evidence-Validated Hypothesis Admission for Budget-Aware Narrative Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.29835/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated solid zero-shot reasoning capabilities, which is reflected in their performance on the current test tasks. This calls for a more challenging benchmark requiring highly advanced reasoning ability to be solved. In this paper, we introduce such a benchmark, consisting of 191 long-form (1200 words on average) mystery narratives constructed as detective puzzles. Puzzles are sourced from the "5 Minute Mystery" platform and include a multiple-choice question for evaluation. Only 47% of humans solve a puzzle successfully on average, while the best human solvers achieve over 80% success rate. We show that GPT-3 models barely outperform random on this benchmark (with 28% accuracy) while state-of-the-art GPT-4 solves only 38% of puzzles. This indicates that there is still a significant gap in the deep reasoning abilities of LLMs and humans and highlights the need for further research in this area. Our work introduces a challenging benchmark for future studies on reasoning in language models and contributes to a better understanding of the limits of LLMs' abilities.