# Digital Twin-Centered Hybrid Data-Driven Multi-Stage Deep Learning Framework for Enhanced Nuclear Reactor Power Prediction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.13157 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.13157/

## Key facts

- Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 2 of its 37 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 23 Nov 2022.

## Builds on (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [Discovering and forecasting extreme events via active learning in neural operators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.02488/) (2022)
- [Leveraging Industry 4.0 -- Deep Learning, Surrogate Model and Transfer Learning with Uncertainty Quantification Incorporated into Digital Twin for Nuclear System](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.00074/) (2022)

## Built on by (most cited first, 6 of 6)

- [Deep Neural Operator Driven Real Time Inference for Nuclear Systems to Enable Digital Twin Solutions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.07523/) (2023)
- [Improved generalization with deep neural operators for engineering systems: Path towards digital twin](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.06701/) (2023)
- [Virtual Sensing-Enabled Digital Twin Framework for Real-Time Monitoring of Nuclear Systems Leveraging Deep Neural Operators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.13762/) (2024)
- [Real-Time Sensing of Inaccessible Physical Fields via an Edge-Deployable Hardware-Portable Graph Neural Operator](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.01802/) (2026)
- [Single vs. Multiple Branches in DeepONet and S-DeepONet: Network Architecture Follows Coupling in Multiphysics Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.03660/) (2025)
- [Validation-Gated Multi-Agent Governance for Online Adaptation of Thermal-Hydraulic Surrogate Models under Operating-Regime Shift](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.03321/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The accurate and efficient modeling of nuclear reactor transients is crucial for ensuring safe and optimal reactor operation. Traditional physics-based models, while valuable, can be computationally intensive and may not fully capture the complexities of real-world reactor behavior. This paper introduces a novel hybrid digital twin-focused multi-stage deep learning framework that addresses these limitations, offering a faster and more robust solution for predicting the final steady-state power of reactor transients. By leveraging a combination of feed-forward neural networks with both classification and regression stages, and training on a unique dataset that integrates real-world measurements of reactor power and controls state from the Missouri University of Science and Technology Reactor (MSTR) with noise-enhanced simulated data, our approach achieves remarkable accuracy (96% classification, 2.3% MAPE). The incorporation of simulated data with noise significantly improves the model's generalization capabilities, mitigating the risk of overfitting. Designed as a digital twin supporting system, this framework integrates real-time, synchronized predictions of reactor state transitions, enabling dynamic operational monitoring and optimization. This innovative solution not only enables rapid and precise prediction of reactor behavior but also has the potential to revolutionize nuclear reactor operations, facilitating enhanced safety protocols, optimized performance, and streamlined decision-making processes. By aligning data-driven insights with the principles of digital twins, this work lays the groundwork for adaptable and scalable solutions in nuclear system management.
