# HGV4Risk: Hierarchical Global View-guided Sequence Representation Learning for Risk Prediction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.07956 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.07956/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 21 of its 62 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 15 Nov 2022.

## Builds on (most cited first, 21 of 21)

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- [Multitask learning and benchmarking with clinical time series data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.07771/) (2017)
- [A Dual-Stage Attention-Based Recurrent Neural Network for Time Series Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.02971/) (2017)
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- [Self-Supervised Transformer for Sparse and Irregularly Sampled Multivariate Clinical Time-Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.14293/) (2021)
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- [RetainVis: Visual Analytics with Interpretable and Interactive Recurrent Neural Networks on Electronic Medical Records](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.10724/) (2018)
- [ConCare: Personalized Clinical Feature Embedding via Capturing the Healthcare Context](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.12216/) (2019)
- [AdaCare: Explainable Clinical Health Status Representation Learning via Scale-Adaptive Feature Extraction and Recalibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.12205/) (2019)
- [Self-Supervised Graph Co-Training for Session-based Recommendation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.10560/) (2021)
- [When Homomorphic Encryption Marries Secret Sharing: Secure Large-Scale Sparse Logistic Regression and Applications in Risk Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.08753/) (2020)
- [Graph-Enhanced Multi-Task Learning of Multi-Level Transition Dynamics for Session-based Recommendation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.03996/) (2021)
- [Optimal Cyber-Insurance Contract Design for Dynamic Risk Management and Mitigation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.00998/) (2018)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Risk prediction, as a typical time series modeling problem, is usually achieved by learning trends in markers or historical behavior from sequence data, and has been widely applied in healthcare and finance. In recent years, deep learning models, especially Long Short-Term Memory neural networks (LSTMs), have led to superior performances in such sequence representation learning tasks. Despite that some attention or self-attention based models with time-aware or feature-aware enhanced strategies have achieved better performance compared with other temporal modeling methods, such improvement is limited due to a lack of guidance from global view. To address this issue, we propose a novel end-to-end Hierarchical Global View-guided (HGV) sequence representation learning framework. Specifically, the Global Graph Embedding (GGE) module is proposed to learn sequential clip-aware representations from temporal correlation graph at instance level. Furthermore, following the way of key-query attention, the harmonic β-attention (β-Attn) is also developed for making a global trade-off between time-aware decay and observation significance at channel level adaptively. Moreover, the hierarchical representations at both instance level and channel level can be coordinated by the heterogeneous information aggregation under the guidance of global view. Experimental results on a benchmark dataset for healthcare risk prediction, and a real-world industrial scenario for Small and Mid-size Enterprises (SMEs) credit overdue risk prediction in MYBank, Ant Group, have illustrated that the proposed model can achieve competitive prediction performance compared with other known baselines.
