# Quickest Change Detection with Leave-one-out Density Estimation

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.00223 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.00223/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 1 Nov 2022.

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [Sequential Change Point Detection via Denoising Score Matching](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.12667/) (2025)
- [Quickest Change Detection with Confusing Change](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.00842/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The problem of quickest change detection in a sequence of independent observations is considered. The pre-change distribution is assumed to be known, while the post-change distribution is completely unknown. A window-limited leave-one-out (LOO) CuSum test is developed, which does not assume any knowledge of the post-change distribution, and does not require any post-change training samples. It is shown that, with certain convergence conditions on the density estimator, the LOO-CuSum test is first-order asymptotically optimal, as the false alarm rate goes to zero. The analysis is validated through numerical results, where the LOO-CuSum test is compared with baseline tests that have distributional knowledge.
