# Bounded-Regret MPC via Perturbation Analysis: Prediction Error, Constraints, and Nonlinearity

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.12312 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.12312/

## Key facts

- Cited by 16 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 22 Oct 2022.

## Built on by (most cited first, 16 of 16)

- [Synthesis of Model Predictive Control and Reinforcement Learning: Survey and Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.02133/) (2025)
- [Beyond Black-Box Advice: Learning-Augmented Algorithms for MDPs with Q-Value Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.10524/) (2023)
- [Reinforcement Learning with Lookahead Information](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.02258/) (2024)
- [The Value of Reward Lookahead in Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.11637/) (2024)
- [Optimistic Online Non-stochastic Control via FTRL](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.03309/) (2024)
- [Reinforcement Learning with Imperfect Transition Predictions: A Bellman-Jensen Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.18687/) (2025)
- [AdaReP:Adaptive Re-Planning under Model Mismatch for Neural World-Model Predictive Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.23079/) (2026)
- [Learning-Augmented Decentralized Online Convex Optimization in Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.10158/) (2023)
- [Anytime-Competitive Reinforcement Learning with Policy Prior](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.01568/) (2023)
- [Out-of-Distribution-Aware Electric Vehicle Charging](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.05941/) (2023)
- [Sub-linear Regret in Adaptive Model Predictive Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.04842/) (2023)
- [Optimization Solution Functions as Deterministic Policies for Offline Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.15368/) (2024)
- [Quantum Algorithm for Sparse Online Learning with Truncated Gradient Descent](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.03925/) (2024)
- [Safe Exploitative Play with Untrusted Type Beliefs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.07679/) (2024)
- [Reinforcement Learning with Multi-Step Lookahead Information Via Adaptive Batching](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.10418/) (2026)
- [Self-Adaptive Learning and Model Predictive Control for Tracking Unknown Dynamics with No Regret](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.26370/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We study Model Predictive Control (MPC) and propose a general analysis pipeline to bound its dynamic regret. The pipeline first requires deriving a perturbation bound for a finite-time optimal control problem. Then, the perturbation bound is used to bound the per-step error of MPC, which leads to a bound on the dynamic regret. Thus, our pipeline reduces the study of MPC to the well-studied problem of perturbation analysis, enabling the derivation of regret bounds of MPC under a variety of settings. To demonstrate the power of our pipeline, we use it to generalize existing regret bounds on MPC in linear time-varying (LTV) systems to incorporate prediction errors on costs, dynamics, and disturbances. Further, our pipeline leads to regret bounds on MPC in systems with nonlinear dynamics and constraints.
