# Evidence > Intuition: Transferability Estimation for Encoder Selection

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.11255 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.11255/

## Key facts

- Cited by 7 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 31 of its 40 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 20 Oct 2022.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 31)

- [BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.04805/) (2018)
- [RoBERTa: A Robustly Optimized BERT Pretraining Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.11692/) (2019)
- [GLUE: A Multi-Task Benchmark and Analysis Platform for Natural Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.07461/) (2018)
- [DistilBERT, a distilled version of BERT: smaller, faster, cheaper and lighter](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.01108/) (2019)
- [SQuAD: 100,000+ Questions for Machine Comprehension of Text](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.05250/) (2016)
- [A Broad-Coverage Challenge Corpus for Sentence Understanding through Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.05426/) (2017)
- [Character-level Convolutional Networks for Text Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1509.01626/) (2015)
- [BioBERT: a pre-trained biomedical language representation model for biomedical text mining](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.08746/) (2019)
- [Don't Stop Pretraining: Adapt Language Models to Domains and Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.10964/) (2020)
- [SciBERT: A Pretrained Language Model for Scientific Text](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.10676/) (2019)
- [BERT Rediscovers the Classical NLP Pipeline](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.05950/) (2019)
- [Publicly Available Clinical BERT Embeddings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.03323/) (2019)
- [TweetEval: Unified Benchmark and Comparative Evaluation for Tweet Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.12421/) (2020)
- [Multi-Task Identification of Entities, Relations, and Coreference for Scientific Knowledge Graph Construction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1808.09602/) (2018)
- [Matching the Blanks: Distributional Similarity for Relation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.03158/) (2019)
- [LEEP: A New Measure to Evaluate Transferability of Learned Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.12462/) (2020)
- [LogME: Practical Assessment of Pre-trained Models for Transfer Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.11005/) (2021)
- [To Tune or Not to Tune? Adapting Pretrained Representations to Diverse Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.05987/) (2019)
- [Exploring and Predicting Transferability across NLP Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.00770/) (2020)
- [CrossNER: Evaluating Cross-Domain Named Entity Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.04373/) (2020)
- [OTCE: A Transferability Metric for Cross-Domain Cross-Task Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.13843/) (2021)
- [Transferability Estimation using Bhattacharyya Class Separability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.12780/) (2021)
- [Predicting Performance for Natural Language Processing Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.00870/) (2020)
- [A Weighted Correlation Index for Rankings with Ties](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1404.3325/) (2014)
- [On the Interplay Between Fine-tuning and Sentence-level Probing for Linguistic Knowledge in Pre-trained Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.02616/) (2020)
- [Which *BERT? A Survey Organizing Contextualized Encoders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.00854/) (2020)
- [Towards More Fine-grained and Reliable NLP Performance Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.05486/) (2021)
- [Exploring the Role of Task Transferability in Large-Scale Multi-Task Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.11117/) (2022)
- [De-identification of Privacy-related Entities in Job Postings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.11223/) (2021)
- [Probing for Labeled Dependency Trees](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.12971/) (2022)

## Built on by (most cited first, 7 of 7)

- [Anchor Points: Benchmarking Models with Much Fewer Examples](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.08638/) (2023)
- [Where to start? Analyzing the potential value of intermediate models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.00107/) (2022)
- [Which Model to Transfer? A Survey on Transferability Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.15231/) (2024)
- [How to Estimate Model Transferability of Pre-Trained Speech Models?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.01015/) (2023)
- [How to Determine the Most Powerful Pre-trained Language Model without Brute Force Fine-tuning? An Empirical Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.04775/) (2023)
- [Representing LLMs in Prompt Semantic Task Space](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.22506/) (2025)
- [TransformerRanker: A Tool for Efficiently Finding the Best-Suited Language Models for Downstream Classification Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.05997/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

With the increase in availability of large pre-trained language models (LMs) in Natural Language Processing (NLP), it becomes critical to assess their fit for a specific target task a priori - as fine-tuning the entire space of available LMs is computationally prohibitive and unsustainable. However, encoder transferability estimation has received little to no attention in NLP. In this paper, we propose to generate quantitative evidence to predict which LM, out of a pool of models, will perform best on a target task without having to fine-tune all candidates. We provide a comprehensive study on LM ranking for 10 NLP tasks spanning the two fundamental problem types of classification and structured prediction. We adopt the state-of-the-art Logarithm of Maximum Evidence (LogME) measure from Computer Vision (CV) and find that it positively correlates with final LM performance in 94% of the setups. In the first study of its kind, we further compare transferability measures with the de facto standard of human practitioner ranking, finding that evidence from quantitative metrics is more robust than pure intuition and can help identify unexpected LM candidates.
