# Forecasting Human Trajectory from Scene History

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.08732 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.08732/

## Key facts

- Cited by 14 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 23 of its 48 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 17 Oct 2022.

## Builds on (most cited first, 23 of 23)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.04805/) (2018)
- [Swin Transformer: Hierarchical Vision Transformer using Shifted Windows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.14030/) (2021)
- [Semantic Understanding of Scenes through the ADE20K Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1608.05442/) (2016)
- [Social GAN: Socially Acceptable Trajectories with Generative Adversarial Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.10892/) (2018)
- [AgentFormer: Agent-Aware Transformers for Socio-Temporal Multi-Agent Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.14023/) (2021)
- [Social-STGCNN: A Social Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Neural Network for Human Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.11927/) (2020)
- [DESIRE: Distant Future Prediction in Dynamic Scenes with Interacting Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.04394/) (2017)
- [It Is Not the Journey but the Destination: Endpoint Conditioned Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.02025/) (2020)
- [Social-BiGAT: Multimodal Trajectory Forecasting using Bicycle-GAN and Graph Attention Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.03395/) (2019)
- [Social Attention: Modeling Attention in Human Crowds](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.04689/) (2017)
- [Transformer Networks for Trajectory Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.08111/) (2020)
- [From Goals, Waypoints & Paths To Long Term Human Trajectory Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.01526/) (2020)
- [MOTChallenge 2015: Towards a Benchmark for Multi-Target Tracking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1504.01942/) (2015)
- [Peeking into the Future: Predicting Future Person Activities and Locations in Videos](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.03748/) (2019)
- [Remember Intentions: Retrospective-Memory-based Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.11474/) (2022)
- [Conditional Generative Neural System for Probabilistic Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.01631/) (2019)
- [MANTRA: Memory Augmented Networks for Multiple Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.03340/) (2020)
- [Recursive Social Behavior Graph for Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.10402/) (2020)
- [LOKI: Long Term and Key Intentions for Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.08236/) (2021)
- [Adaptive Trajectory Prediction via Transferable GNN](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.05046/) (2022)
- [Three Steps to Multimodal Trajectory Prediction: Modality Clustering, Classification and Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.07854/) (2021)
- [Graph-based Spatial Transformer with Memory Replay for Multi-future Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.05712/) (2022)

## Built on by (most cited first, 14 of 14)

- [SocialCircle: Learning the Angle-based Social Interaction Representation for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.05370/) (2023)
- [Unsupervised Sampling Promoting for Stochastic Human Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.04298/) (2023)
- [Another Vertical View: A Hierarchical Network for Heterogeneous Trajectory Prediction via Spectrums](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.05106/) (2023)
- [Improving Transferability for Cross-domain Trajectory Prediction via Neural Stochastic Differential Equation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.15906/) (2023)
- [SocialCircle+: Learning the Angle-based Conditioned Interaction Representation for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.14984/) (2024)
- [SocialMOIF: Multi-Order Intention Fusion for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.15616/) (2025)
- [Adaptive Human Trajectory Prediction via Latent Corridors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.06653/) (2023)
- [Uncovering the human motion pattern: Pattern Memory-based Diffusion Model for Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.02916/) (2024)
- [ITPNet: Towards Instantaneous Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.07369/) (2024)
- [Recent Advances in Multi-Agent Human Trajectory Prediction: A Comprehensive Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.14831/) (2025)
- [Reverberation: Learning the Latencies Before Forecasting Trajectories](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.11164/) (2025)
- [CmIVTP: Cross-modal Interaction-based Vessel Trajectory Prediction for Maritime Intelligence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.26524/) (2026)
- [SceneSelect: Selective Learning for Trajectory Scene Classification and Expert Scheduling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.24514/) (2026)
- [Diverse Yet Consistent: Context-Guided Diffusion with Energy-Based Joint Refinement for Multi-Agent Motion Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.22017/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Predicting the future trajectory of a person remains a challenging problem, due to randomness and subjectivity of human movement. However, the moving patterns of human in a constrained scenario typically conform to a limited number of regularities to a certain extent, because of the scenario restrictions and person-person or person-object interactivity. Thus, an individual person in this scenario should follow one of the regularities as well. In other words, a person's subsequent trajectory has likely been traveled by others. Based on this hypothesis, we propose to forecast a person's future trajectory by learning from the implicit scene regularities. We call the regularities, inherently derived from the past dynamics of the people and the environment in the scene, scene history. We categorize scene history information into two types: historical group trajectory and individual-surroundings interaction. To exploit these two types of information for trajectory prediction, we propose a novel framework Scene History Excavating Network (SHENet), where the scene history is leveraged in a simple yet effective approach. In particular, we design two components: the group trajectory bank module to extract representative group trajectories as the candidate for future path, and the cross-modal interaction module to model the interaction between individual past trajectory and its surroundings for trajectory refinement. In addition, to mitigate the uncertainty in ground-truth trajectory, caused by the aforementioned randomness and subjectivity of human movement, we propose to include smoothness into the training process and evaluation metrics. We conduct extensive evaluations to validate the efficacy of our proposed framework on ETH, UCY, as well as a new, challenging benchmark dataset PAV, demonstrating superior performance compared to state-of-the-art methods.