# Sensitivity Analysis for Marginal Structural Models

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.04681 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.04681/

## Key facts

- Cited by 10 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 10 Oct 2022.

## Built on by (most cited first, 10 of 10)

- [Sharp Bounds for Generalized Causal Sensitivity Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.16988/) (2023)
- [Bounds on Representation-Induced Confounding Bias for Treatment Effect Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.11321/) (2023)
- [A Neural Framework for Generalized Causal Sensitivity Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.16026/) (2023)
- [Partial Counterfactual Identification of Continuous Outcomes with a Curvature Sensitivity Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.01424/) (2023)
- [Robust Fitted-Q-Evaluation and Iteration under Sequentially Exogenous Unobserved Confounders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.00662/) (2023)
- [Causal Fairness under Unobserved Confounding: A Neural Sensitivity Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.18460/) (2023)
- [Quantifying Aleatoric Uncertainty of the Treatment Effect: A Novel Orthogonal Learner](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.03387/) (2024)
- [Efficient and Sharp Off-Policy Learning under Unobserved Confounding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.13022/) (2025)
- [Efficient and Sharp Off-Policy Evaluation in Robust Markov Decision Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.00099/) (2024)
- [Assessing the robustness of heterogeneous treatment effects in survival analysis under informative censoring](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.13397/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We introduce several methods for assessing sensitivity to unmeasured confounding in marginal structural models; importantly we allow treatments to be discrete or continuous, static or time-varying. We consider three sensitivity models: a propensity-based model, an outcome-based model, and a subset confounding model, in which only a fraction of the population is subject to unmeasured confounding. In each case we develop efficient estimators and confidence intervals for bounds on the causal parameters.
