# Comparing the carbon costs and benefits of low-resource solar nowcasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.04554 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.04554/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 4 of its 14 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Oct 2022.

## Builds on (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [An Empirical Evaluation of Generic Convolutional and Recurrent Networks for Sequence Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.01271/) (2018)
- [Convolutional LSTM Network: A Machine Learning Approach for Precipitation Nowcasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.04214/) (2015)
- [Quantifying the Carbon Emissions of Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.09700/) (2019)
- [Towards the Systematic Reporting of the Energy and Carbon Footprints of Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.05651/) (2020)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Solar PV yield nowcasting is used to help anticipate peaks and troughs in demand to support grid integration. This paper compares multiple low-resource approaches to nowcasting solar PV yield, using a dataset of UK satellite imagery and solar PV energy readings over a 1 to 4-hour time range. The paper also estimates the carbon emissions generated and averted by deploying models, and finds that even small models that could be deployable in low-resource settings may have a benefit several orders of magnitude greater than its carbon cost. The paper also examines prediction errors and the activations in a CNN.
