# Class-wise and reduced calibration methods

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.03702 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.03702/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 14 of its 24 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 7 Oct 2022.

## Builds on (most cited first, 14 of 14)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04599/) (2017)
- [Training data-efficient image transformers & distillation through attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.12877/) (2020)
- [DistilBERT, a distilled version of BERT: smaller, faster, cheaper and lighter](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.01108/) (2019)
- [Prevalence of Neural Collapse during the terminal phase of deep learning training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.08186/) (2020)
- [The Implicit Bias of Gradient Descent on Separable Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.10345/) (2017)
- [Beyond temperature scaling: Obtaining well-calibrated multiclass probabilities with Dirichlet calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.12656/) (2019)
- [Verified Uncertainty Calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.10155/) (2019)
- [Evaluation of Deep Convolutional Nets for Document Image Classification and Retrieval](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1502.07058/) (2015)
- [Evaluating model calibration in classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.06977/) (2019)
- [Neural Collapse Under MSE Loss: Proximity to and Dynamics on the Central Path](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.02073/) (2021)
- [SOREL-20M: A Large Scale Benchmark Dataset for Malicious PE Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.07634/) (2020)
- [Top-label calibration and multiclass-to-binary reductions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.08353/) (2021)
- [Calibration of Machine Learning Classifiers for Probability of Default Modelling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.08901/) (2017)

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [Scalable Utility-Aware Multiclass Calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.25458/) (2025)
- [Revisiting Reweighted Risk for Calibration: AURC, Focal, and Inverse Focal Loss](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.23463/) (2025)
- [Bandwidth Selection in Kernel Density Estimation for Model Calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.29925/) (2026)
- [Let Confidence Change, Not the Prediction: Prediction-Preserving Repair for Post-hoc Calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.01072/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

For many applications of probabilistic classifiers it is important that the predicted confidence vectors reflect true probabilities (one says that the classifier is calibrated). It has been shown that common models fail to satisfy this property, making reliable methods for measuring and improving calibration important tools. Unfortunately, obtaining these is far from trivial for problems with many classes. We propose two techniques that can be used in tandem. First, a reduced calibration method transforms the original problem into a simpler one. We prove for several notions of calibration that solving the reduced problem minimizes the corresponding notion of miscalibration in the full problem, allowing the use of non-parametric recalibration methods that fail in higher dimensions. Second, we propose class-wise calibration methods, based on intuition building on a phenomenon called neural collapse and the observation that most of the accurate classifiers found in practice can be thought of as a union of K different functions which can be recalibrated separately, one for each class. These typically out-perform their non class-wise counterparts, especially for classifiers trained on imbalanced data sets. Applying the two methods together results in class-wise reduced calibration algorithms, which are powerful tools for reducing the prediction and per-class calibration errors. We demonstrate our methods on real and synthetic datasets and release all code as open source at https://github.com/appliedAI-Initiative
