# Deep Baseline Network for Time Series Modeling and Anomaly Detection

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2209.04561 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.04561/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 8 of its 17 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Sep 2022.

## Builds on (most cited first, 8 of 8)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [DeepAR: Probabilistic Forecasting with Autoregressive Recurrent Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.04110/) (2017)
- [N-BEATS: Neural basis expansion analysis for interpretable time series forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.10437/) (2019)
- [Time Series Forecasting With Deep Learning: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.13408/) (2020)
- [Unsupervised Anomaly Detection via Variational Auto-Encoder for Seasonal KPIs in Web Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.03903/) (2018)
- [Time-Series Anomaly Detection Service at Microsoft](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.03821/) (2019)
- [RobustSTL: A Robust Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Algorithm for Long Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.01767/) (2018)
- [RobustTrend: A Huber Loss with a Combined First and Second Order Difference Regularization for Time Series Trend Filtering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.03751/) (2019)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Deep learning has seen increasing applications in time series in recent years. For time series anomaly detection scenarios, such as in finance, Internet of Things, data center operations, etc., time series usually show very flexible baselines depending on various external factors. Anomalies unveil themselves by lying far away from the baseline. However, the detection is not always easy due to some challenges including baseline shifting, lacking of labels, noise interference, real time detection in streaming data, result interpretability, etc. In this paper, we develop a novel deep architecture to properly extract the baseline from time series, namely Deep Baseline Network (DBLN). By using this deep network, we can easily locate the baseline position and then provide reliable and interpretable anomaly detection result. Empirical evaluation on both synthetic and public real-world datasets shows that our purely unsupervised algorithm achieves superior performance compared with state-of-art methods and has good practical applications.