# Modeling Soft-Failure Evolution for Triggering Timely Repair with Low QoT Margins

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2208.14535 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.14535/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 2 of its 17 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 30 Aug 2022.

## Builds on (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [Learning Phrase Representations using RNN Encoder-Decoder for Statistical Machine Translation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1406.1078/) (2014)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Machine Learning for Real-Time Anomaly Detection in Optical Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.10741/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

In this work, the capabilities of an encoder-decoder learning framework are leveraged to predict soft-failure evolution over a long future horizon. This enables the triggering of timely repair actions with low quality-of-transmission (QoT) margins before a costly hard-failure occurs, ultimately reducing the frequency of repair actions and associated operational expenses. Specifically, it is shown that the proposed scheme is capable of triggering a repair action several days prior to the expected day of a hard-failure, contrary to soft-failure detection schemes utilizing rule-based fixed QoT margins, that may lead either to premature repair actions (i.e., several months before the event of a hard-failure) or to repair actions that are taken too late (i.e., after the hard failure has occurred). Both frameworks are evaluated and compared for a lightpath established in an elastic optical network, where soft-failure evolution can be modeled by analyzing bit-error-rate information monitored at the coherent receivers.