# Less Is More: Fast Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Light Sampling-oriented MLP Structures

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2207.01186 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.01186/

## Key facts

- Cited by 160 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 18 of its 28 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 4 Jul 2022.

## Builds on (most cited first, 18 of 18)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07874/) (2017)
- [Neural Machine Translation by Jointly Learning to Align and Translate](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.0473/) (2014)
- [Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.07436/) (2020)
- [Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.13008/) (2021)
- [Reformer: The Efficient Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.04451/) (2020)
- [An Empirical Evaluation of Generic Convolutional and Recurrent Networks for Sequence Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.01271/) (2018)
- [Learning Important Features Through Propagating Activation Differences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.02685/) (2017)
- [MLP-Mixer: An all-MLP Architecture for Vision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.01601/) (2021)
- [Modeling Long- and Short-Term Temporal Patterns with Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.07015/) (2017)
- [N-BEATS: Neural basis expansion analysis for interpretable time series forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.10437/) (2019)
- [Enhancing the Locality and Breaking the Memory Bottleneck of Transformer on Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.00235/) (2019)
- [Connecting the Dots: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Graph Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.11650/) (2020)
- [Pay Attention to MLPs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.08050/) (2021)
- [ResMLP: Feedforward networks for image classification with data-efficient training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.03404/) (2021)
- [Spectral Temporal Graph Neural Network for Multivariate Time-series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.07719/) (2021)
- [Temporal Pattern Attention for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.04206/) (2018)
- [Instance-wise Graph-based Framework for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.06489/) (2021)

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 160)

- [TimesNet: Temporal 2D-Variation Modeling for General Time Series Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.02186/) (2022)
- [Time-LLM: Time Series Forecasting by Reprogramming Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.01728/) (2023)
- [One Fits All:Power General Time Series Analysis by Pretrained LM](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.11939/) (2023)
- [TimeMixer: Decomposable Multiscale Mixing for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.14616/) (2024)
- [FITS: Modeling Time Series with 10k Parameters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.03756/) (2023)
- [TEMPO: Prompt-based Generative Pre-trained Transformer for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.04948/) (2023)
- [Frequency-domain MLPs are More Effective Learners in Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.06184/) (2023)
- [TSMixer: Lightweight MLP-Mixer Model for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.09364/) (2023)
- [TimeMixer++: A General Time Series Pattern Machine for Universal Predictive Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.16032/) (2024)
- [Is Mamba Effective for Time Series Forecasting?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.11144/) (2024)
- [Koopa: Learning Non-stationary Time Series Dynamics with Koopman Predictors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.18803/) (2023)
- [SparseTSF: Modeling Long-term Time Series Forecasting with 1k Parameters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.00946/) (2024)
- [CycleNet: Enhancing Time Series Forecasting through Modeling Periodic Patterns](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.18479/) (2024)
- [UniTS: A Unified Multi-Task Time Series Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.00131/) (2024)
- [SOFTS: Efficient Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Series-Core Fusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.14197/) (2024)
- [TSLANet: Rethinking Transformers for Time Series Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.08472/) (2024)
- [Time-MMD: Multi-Domain Multimodal Dataset for Time Series Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.08627/) (2024)
- [Time-VLM: Exploring Multimodal Vision-Language Models for Augmented Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.04395/) (2025)
- [CARD: Channel Aligned Robust Blend Transformer for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.12095/) (2023)
- [Warpformer: A Multi-scale Modeling Approach for Irregular Clinical Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.09368/) (2023)
- [DSformer: A Double Sampling Transformer for Multivariate Time Series Long-term Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.03274/) (2023)
- [Revitalizing Multivariate Time Series Forecasting: Learnable Decomposition with Inter-Series Dependencies and Intra-Series Variations Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.12694/) (2024)
- [TOTEM: TOkenized Time Series EMbeddings for General Time Series Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.16412/) (2024)
- [Context-Alignment: Activating and Enhancing LLM Capabilities in Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.03747/) (2025)
- [From Similarity to Superiority: Channel Clustering for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.01340/) (2024)
- [ProbTS: Benchmarking Point and Distributional Forecasting across Diverse Prediction Horizons](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.07446/) (2023)
- [Adaptive Multi-Scale Decomposition Framework for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.03751/) (2024)
- [Temporal Query Network for Efficient Multivariate Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.12917/) (2025)
- [Mixture-of-Linear-Experts for Long-term Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.06786/) (2023)
- [Multi-Patch Prediction: Adapting LLMs for Time Series Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.04852/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Multivariate time series forecasting has seen widely ranging applications in various domains, including finance, traffic, energy, and healthcare. To capture the sophisticated temporal patterns, plenty of research studies designed complex neural network architectures based on many variants of RNNs, GNNs, and Transformers. However, complex models are often computationally expensive and thus face a severe challenge in training and inference efficiency when applied to large-scale real-world datasets. In this paper, we introduce LightTS, a light deep learning architecture merely based on simple MLP-based structures. The key idea of LightTS is to apply an MLP-based structure on top of two delicate down-sampling strategies, including interval sampling and continuous sampling, inspired by a crucial fact that down-sampling time series often preserves the majority of its information. We conduct extensive experiments on eight widely used benchmark datasets. Compared with the existing state-of-the-art methods, LightTS demonstrates better performance on five of them and comparable performance on the rest. Moreover, LightTS is highly efficient. It uses less than 5% FLOPS compared with previous SOTA methods on the largest benchmark dataset. In addition, LightTS is robust and has a much smaller variance in forecasting accuracy than previous SOTA methods in long sequence forecasting tasks.