# Deep-Learning vs Regression: Prediction of Tourism Flow with Limited Data

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2206.13274 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.13274/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 9 of its 34 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 27 Jun 2022.

## Builds on (most cited first, 9 of 9)

- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [Neural Ordinary Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07366/) (2018)
- [Empirical Evaluation of Gated Recurrent Neural Networks on Sequence Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.3555/) (2014)
- [Recurrent Neural Networks for Multivariate Time Series with Missing Values](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.01865/) (2016)
- [Augmented Neural ODEs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.01681/) (2019)
- [Phased LSTM: Accelerating Recurrent Network Training for Long or Event-based Sequences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.09513/) (2016)
- [Discrete Event, Continuous Time RNNs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.04110/) (2017)
- [Attentive Crowd Flow Machines](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.00101/) (2018)
- [The Neural Hawkes Process: A Neurally Self-Modulating Multivariate Point Process](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.09328/) (2016)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Modern tourism in the 21st century is facing numerous challenges. One of these challenges is the rapidly growing number of tourists in space limited regions such as historical city centers, museums or geographical bottlenecks like narrow valleys. In this context, a proper and accurate prediction of tourism volume and tourism flow within a certain area is important and critical for visitor management tasks such as visitor flow control and prevention of overcrowding. Static flow control methods like limiting access to hotspots or using conventional low level controllers could not solve the problem yet. In this paper, we empirically evaluate the performance of several state-of-the-art deep-learning methods in the field of visitor flow prediction with limited data by using available granular data supplied by a tourism region and comparing the results to ARIMA, a classical statistical method. Our results show that deep-learning models yield better predictions compared to the ARIMA method, while both featuring faster inference times and being able to incorporate additional input features.