# AlphaMLDigger: A Novel Machine Learning Solution to Explore Excess Return on Investment

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2206.11072 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.11072/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 8 of its 34 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 22 Jun 2022.

## Builds on (most cited first, 8 of 8)

- [BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.04805/) (2018)
- [XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting System](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.02754/) (2016)
- [Learning Phrase Representations using RNN Encoder-Decoder for Statistical Machine Translation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1406.1078/) (2014)
- [A Tutorial on Bayesian Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.02811/) (2018)
- [FinBERT: Financial Sentiment Analysis with Pre-trained Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.10063/) (2019)
- [Analogical Reasoning on Chinese Morphological and Semantic Relations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.06504/) (2018)
- [Stock Movement Prediction with Financial News using Contextualized Embedding from BERT](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.08721/) (2021)
- [The Effects of Twitter Sentiment on Stock Price Returns](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02431/) (2015)

## Abstract (arXiv)

How to quickly and automatically mine effective information and serve investment decisions has attracted more and more attention from academia and industry. And new challenges have arisen with the global pandemic. This paper proposes a two-phase AlphaMLDigger that effectively finds excessive returns in a highly fluctuated market. In phase 1, a deep sequential natural language processing (NLP) model is proposed to transfer Sina Microblog blogs to market sentiment. In phase 2, the predicted market sentiment is combined with social network indicator features and stock market history features to predict the stock movements with different Machine Learning models and optimizers. The results show that the ensemble models achieve an accuracy of 0.984 and significantly outperform the baseline model. In addition, we find that COVID-19 brings data shift to China's stock market.
