# Decoupled Dynamic Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Network for Traffic Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2206.09112 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.09112/

## Key facts

- Cited by 123 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 22 of its 55 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 18 Jun 2022.

## Builds on (most cited first, 22 of 22)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Semi-Supervised Classification with Graph Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.02907/) (2016)
- [Graph Attention Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.10903/) (2017)
- [Sequence to Sequence Learning with Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.3215/) (2014)
- [Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.07436/) (2020)
- [Convolutional Neural Networks on Graphs with Fast Localized Spectral Filtering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.09375/) (2016)
- [Simplifying Graph Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.07153/) (2019)
- [On the Properties of Neural Machine Translation: Encoder-Decoder Approaches](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.1259/) (2014)
- [Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.04875/) (2017)
- [Multi-Scale Context Aggregation by Dilated Convolutions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1511.07122/) (2015)
- [Spectral Networks and Locally Connected Networks on Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1312.6203/) (2013)
- [Graph WaveNet for Deep Spatial-Temporal Graph Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.00121/) (2019)
- [N-BEATS: Neural basis expansion analysis for interpretable time series forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.10437/) (2019)
- [Connecting the Dots: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Graph Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.11650/) (2020)
- [MixHop: Higher-Order Graph Convolutional Architectures via Sparsified Neighborhood Mixing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.00067/) (2019)
- [GMAN: A Graph Multi-Attention Network for Traffic Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.08415/) (2019)
- [GaAN: Gated Attention Networks for Learning on Large and Spatiotemporal Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.07294/) (2018)
- [Deep Multi-View Spatial-Temporal Network for Taxi Demand Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.08714/) (2018)
- [Dynamic Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network for Traffic Prediction: Benchmark and Solution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.14917/) (2021)
- [Coupled Layer-wise Graph Convolution for Transportation Demand Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.08080/) (2020)
- [TSSRGCN: Temporal Spectral Spatial Retrieval Graph Convolutional Network for Traffic Flow Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.14638/) (2020)
- [An Empirical Experiment on Deep Learning Models for Predicting Traffic Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.05504/) (2021)

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 123)

- [Spatial-Temporal Identity: A Simple yet Effective Baseline for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.05233/) (2022)
- [Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks for Predictive Learning in Urban Computing: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.14483/) (2023)
- [LargeST: A Benchmark Dataset for Large-Scale Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.08259/) (2023)
- [Exploring Progress in Multivariate Time Series Forecasting: Comprehensive Benchmarking and Heterogeneity Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06119/) (2023)
- [Spatial-Temporal Large Language Model for Traffic Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.10134/) (2024)
- [DSformer: A Double Sampling Transformer for Multivariate Time Series Long-term Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.03274/) (2023)
- [COLA: Cross-city Mobility Transformer for Human Trajectory Simulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.01801/) (2024)
- [Cross-city Few-Shot Traffic Forecasting via Traffic Pattern Bank](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.09727/) (2023)
- [ST-MLP: A Cascaded Spatio-Temporal Linear Framework with Channel-Independence Strategy for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.07496/) (2023)
- [Irregular Traffic Time Series Forecasting Based on Asynchronous Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.16818/) (2023)
- [GinAR: An End-To-End Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Model Suitable for Variable Missing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.11333/) (2024)
- [Merlin: Multi-View Representation Learning for Robust Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Unfixed Missing Rates](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.12459/) (2025)
- [STGC-GNNs: A GNN-based traffic prediction framework with a spatial-temporal Granger causality graph](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.16789/) (2022)
- [HUTFormer: Hierarchical U-Net Transformer for Long-Term Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.14596/) (2023)
- [STAEformer: Spatio-Temporal Adaptive Embedding Makes Vanilla Transformer SOTA for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.10425/) (2023)
- [Seeing the Unseen: Learning Basis Confounder Representations for Robust Traffic Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.12472/) (2023)
- [TimeEmb: A Lightweight Static-Dynamic Disentanglement Framework for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.00461/) (2025)
- [Traffic Forecasting on New Roads Using Spatial Contrastive Pre-Training (SCPT)](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.05237/) (2023)
- [Dynamic Frequency Domain Graph Convolutional Network for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.11933/) (2023)
- [AutoSTF: Decoupled Neural Architecture Search for Cost-Effective Automated Spatio-Temporal Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.16586/) (2024)
- [TEAM: Topological Evolution-aware Framework for Traffic Forecasting--Extended Version](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.19192/) (2024)
- [ST-LoRA: Low-rank Adaptation for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.07919/) (2024)
- [STGformer: Efficient Spatiotemporal Graph Transformer for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.00385/) (2024)
- [A Systematic Literature Review of Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Network Models for Time Series Forecasting and Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.22377/) (2024)
- [Fast RoPE Attention: Combining the Polynomial Method and Fast Fourier Transform](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.11892/) (2025)
- [STG4Traffic: A Survey and Benchmark of Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks for Traffic Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.00495/) (2023)
- [SAGDFN: A Scalable Adaptive Graph Diffusion Forecasting Network for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.12282/) (2024)
- [Multi-scale Traffic Pattern Bank for Cross-city Few-shot Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.00397/) (2024)
- [Evaluating the Generalization Ability of Spatiotemporal Model in Urban Scenario](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.04740/) (2024)
- [Learning Gaussian Mixture Representations for Tensor Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.00390/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We all depend on mobility, and vehicular transportation affects the daily lives of most of us. Thus, the ability to forecast the state of traffic in a road network is an important functionality and a challenging task. Traffic data is often obtained from sensors deployed in a road network. Recent proposals on spatial-temporal graph neural networks have achieved great progress at modeling complex spatial-temporal correlations in traffic data, by modeling traffic data as a diffusion process. However, intuitively, traffic data encompasses two different kinds of hidden time series signals, namely the diffusion signals and inherent signals. Unfortunately, nearly all previous works coarsely consider traffic signals entirely as the outcome of the diffusion, while neglecting the inherent signals, which impacts model performance negatively. To improve modeling performance, we propose a novel Decoupled Spatial-Temporal Framework (DSTF) that separates the diffusion and inherent traffic information in a data-driven manner, which encompasses a unique estimation gate and a residual decomposition mechanism. The separated signals can be handled subsequently by the diffusion and inherent modules separately. Further, we propose an instantiation of DSTF, Decoupled Dynamic Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Network (D2STGNN), that captures spatial-temporal correlations and also features a dynamic graph learning module that targets the learning of the dynamic characteristics of traffic networks. Extensive experiments with four real-world traffic datasets demonstrate that the framework is capable of advancing the state-of-the-art.