# Predicting and Understanding Human Action Decisions during Skillful Joint-Action via Machine Learning and Explainable-AI

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2206.02739 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.02739/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 11 of its 74 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 6 Jun 2022.

## Builds on (most cited first, 11 of 11)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [Very Deep Convolutional Networks for Large-Scale Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.1556/) (2014)
- [A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07874/) (2017)
- ["Why Should I Trust You?": Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifier](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.04938/) (2016)
- [Deep Speech 2: End-to-End Speech Recognition in English and Mandarin](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.02595/) (2015)
- [Fooling LIME and SHAP: Adversarial Attacks on Post hoc Explanation Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.02508/) (2019)
- [Not Just a Black Box: Learning Important Features Through Propagating Activation Differences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1605.01713/) (2016)
- [Does Explainable Artificial Intelligence Improve Human Decision-Making?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11194/) (2020)
- [Grader variability and the importance of reference standards for evaluating machine learning models for diabetic retinopathy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.01711/) (2017)
- [Image Based Fashion Product Recommendation with Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.08694/) (2018)
- [Herding stochastic autonomous agents via local control rules and online global target selection strategies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.00386/) (2020)

## Abstract (arXiv)

This study uses supervised machine learning (SML) and explainable artificial intelligence (AI) to model, predict and understand human decision-making during skillful joint-action. Long short-term memory networks were trained to predict the target selection decisions of expert and novice actors completing a dyadic herding task. Results revealed that the trained models were expertise specific and could not only accurately predict the target selection decisions of expert and novice herders but could do so at timescales that preceded an actor's conscious intent. To understand what differentiated the target selection decisions of expert and novice actors, we then employed the explainable-AI technique, SHapley Additive exPlanation, to identify the importance of informational features (variables) on model predictions. This analysis revealed that experts were more influenced by information about the state of their co-herders compared to novices. The utility of employing SML and explainable-AI techniques for investigating human decision-making is discussed.