# Use-Case-Grounded Simulations for Explanation Evaluation

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2206.02256 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.02256/

## Key facts

- Cited by 19 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 33 of its 47 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 5 Jun 2022.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 33)

- [A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07874/) (2017)
- ["Why Should I Trust You?": Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifier](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.04938/) (2016)
- [Understanding Black-box Predictions via Influence Functions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.04730/) (2017)
- [Deep Sets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.06114/) (2017)
- [Towards A Rigorous Science of Interpretable Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.08608/) (2017)
- [Sanity Checks for Saliency Maps](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.03292/) (2018)
- [SmoothGrad: removing noise by adding noise](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03825/) (2017)
- [Counterfactual Explanations without Opening the Black Box: Automated Decisions and the GDPR](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.00399/) (2017)
- [Explaining Machine Learning Classifiers through Diverse Counterfactual Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.07697/) (2019)
- [Towards Robust Interpretability with Self-Explaining Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07538/) (2018)
- [Interpretation of Neural Networks is Fragile](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.10547/) (2017)
- [Actionable Recourse in Linear Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.06514/) (2018)
- [Manipulating and Measuring Model Interpretability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.07810/) (2018)
- [Algorithmic Recourse: from Counterfactual Explanations to Interventions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.06278/) (2020)
- [InterpretML: A Unified Framework for Machine Learning Interpretability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.09223/) (2019)
- [Problems with Shapley-value-based explanations as feature importance measures](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.11097/) (2020)
- [Evaluating Explainable AI: Which Algorithmic Explanations Help Users Predict Model Behavior?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.01831/) (2020)
- [Representer Point Selection for Explaining Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.09720/) (2018)
- [Debugging Tests for Model Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.05429/) (2020)
- [Proxy Tasks and Subjective Measures Can Be Misleading in Evaluating Explainable AI Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.08298/) (2020)
- [The Hidden Assumptions Behind Counterfactual Explanations and Principal Reasons](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.04930/) (2019)
- [Evaluating Explanations: How much do explanations from the teacher aid students?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.00893/) (2020)
- [Model Agnostic Supervised Local Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.02910/) (2018)
- [An Evaluation of the Human-Interpretability of Explanation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.00006/) (2019)
- [How can I choose an explainer? An Application-grounded Evaluation of Post-hoc Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.08758/) (2021)
- [What can AI do for me: Evaluating Machine Learning Interpretations in Cooperative Play](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.09648/) (2018)
- [Do Explanations make VQA Models more Predictable to a Human?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.12366/) (2018)
- [Rethinking Stability for Attribution-based Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.06877/) (2022)
- [Regularizing Black-box Models for Improved Interpretability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.06787/) (2019)
- [Remembering for the Right Reasons: Explanations Reduce Catastrophic Forgetting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.01528/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 19 of 19)

- [Do LLMs exhibit human-like response biases? A case study in survey design](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.04076/) (2023)
- [OpenXAI: Towards a Transparent Evaluation of Model Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.11104/) (2022)
- [Towards Human-centered Explainable AI: A Survey of User Studies for Model Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.11584/) (2022)
- [Rethinking Model Evaluation as Narrowing the Socio-Technical Gap](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03100/) (2023)
- [Are Machine Rationales (Not) Useful to Humans? Measuring and Improving Human Utility of Free-Text Rationales](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.07095/) (2023)
- [A Decision Theoretic Framework for Measuring AI Reliance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.15356/) (2024)
- [Interpretable LLM-based Table Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.12386/) (2024)
- [ALMANACS: A Simulatability Benchmark for Language Model Explainability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.12747/) (2023)
- [Sample based Explanations via Generalized Representers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.18526/) (2023)
- [Utilizing Human Behavior Modeling to Manipulate Explanations in AI-Assisted Decision Making: The Good, the Bad, and the Scary](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.10461/) (2024)
- [BEDD: The MineRL BASALT Evaluation and Demonstrations Dataset for Training and Benchmarking Agents that Solve Fuzzy Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.02405/) (2023)
- [Evaluating the Utility of Model Explanations for Model Development](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.06032/) (2023)
- [OpenHEXAI: An Open-Source Framework for Human-Centered Evaluation of Explainable Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.05565/) (2024)
- [A Sim2Real Approach for Identifying Task-Relevant Properties in Interpretable Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.00116/) (2024)
- [A Case Study on Designing Evaluations of ML Explanations with Simulated User Studies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.07444/) (2023)
- [Is Task-Agnostic Explainable AI a Myth?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.06963/) (2023)
- [Explanations are a Means to an End: Decision Theoretic Explanation Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.22740/) (2025)
- [Towards a Research Community in Interpretable Reinforcement Learning: the InterpPol Workshop](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.10906/) (2024)
- [Rules or Weights? Comparing User Understanding of Explainable AI Techniques with the Cognitive XAI-Adaptive Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.19620/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

A growing body of research runs human subject evaluations to study whether providing users with explanations of machine learning models can help them with practical real-world use cases. However, running user studies is challenging and costly, and consequently each study typically only evaluates a limited number of different settings, e.g., studies often only evaluate a few arbitrarily selected explanation methods. To address these challenges and aid user study design, we introduce Use-Case-Grounded Simulated Evaluations (SimEvals). SimEvals involve training algorithmic agents that take as input the information content (such as model explanations) that would be presented to each participant in a human subject study, to predict answers to the use case of interest. The algorithmic agent's test set accuracy provides a measure of the predictiveness of the information content for the downstream use case. We run a comprehensive evaluation on three real-world use cases (forward simulation, model debugging, and counterfactual reasoning) to demonstrate that Simevals can effectively identify which explanation methods will help humans for each use case. These results provide evidence that SimEvals can be used to efficiently screen an important set of user study design decisions, e.g. selecting which explanations should be presented to the user, before running a potentially costly user study.
