# Laplace HypoPINN: Physics-Informed Neural Network for hypocenter localization and its predictive uncertainty

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2205.14439 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.14439/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 11 of its 38 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 28 May 2022.

## Builds on (most cited first, 11 of 11)

- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [Overcoming catastrophic forgetting in neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.00796/) (2016)
- [Delving Deep into Rectifiers: Surpassing Human-Level Performance on ImageNet Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1502.01852/) (2015)
- [Geometric Deep Learning: Grids, Groups, Graphs, Geodesics, and Gauges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.13478/) (2021)
- [Visualizing the Loss Landscape of Neural Nets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.09913/) (2017)
- [Loss Surfaces, Mode Connectivity, and Fast Ensembling of DNNs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.10026/) (2018)
- [Bayesian Deep Learning and a Probabilistic Perspective of Generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.08791/) (2020)
- [Laplace Redux -- Effortless Bayesian Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.14806/) (2021)
- [B-PINNs: Bayesian Physics-Informed Neural Networks for Forward and Inverse PDE Problems with Noisy Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.06097/) (2020)
- [Practical Deep Learning with Bayesian Principles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.02506/) (2019)
- [Knowledge-Adaptation Priors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.08769/) (2021)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [Approximate Bayesian Neural Operators: Uncertainty Quantification for Parametric PDEs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.01565/) (2022)
- [Posterior sampling with CNN-based, Plug-and-Play regularization with applications to Post-Stack Seismic Inversion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.14595/) (2022)
- [Joint Microseismic Event Detection and Location with a Detection Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.09207/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Several techniques have been proposed over the years for automatic hypocenter localization. While those techniques have pros and cons that trade-off computational efficiency and the susceptibility of getting trapped in local minima, an alternate approach is needed that allows robust localization performance and holds the potential to make the elusive goal of real-time microseismic monitoring possible. Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have appeared on the scene as a flexible and versatile framework for solving partial differential equations (PDEs) along with the associated initial or boundary conditions. We develop HypoPINN -- a PINN-based inversion framework for hypocenter localization and introduce an approximate Bayesian framework for estimating its predictive uncertainties. This work focuses on predicting the hypocenter locations using HypoPINN and investigates the propagation of uncertainties from the random realizations of HypoPINN's weights and biases using the Laplace approximation. We train HypoPINN to obtain the optimized weights for predicting hypocenter location. Next, we approximate the covariance matrix at the optimized HypoPINN's weights for posterior sampling with the Laplace approximation. The posterior samples represent various realizations of HypoPINN's weights. Finally, we predict the locations of the hypocenter associated with those weights' realizations to investigate the uncertainty propagation that comes from those realisations. We demonstrate the features of this methodology through several numerical examples, including using the Otway velocity model based on the Otway project in Australia.