# Cumulative Stay-time Representation for Electronic Health Records in Medical Event Time Prediction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2204.13451 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.13451/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 10 of its 56 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 28 Apr 2022.

## Builds on (most cited first, 10 of 10)

- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [Batch Normalization: Accelerating Deep Network Training by Reducing Internal Covariate Shift](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1502.03167/) (2015)
- [Empirical Evaluation of Gated Recurrent Neural Networks on Sequence Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.3555/) (2014)
- [Counterfactual Fairness](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.06856/) (2017)
- [Avoiding Discrimination through Causal Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.02744/) (2017)
- [Fair Inference On Outcomes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.10378/) (2017)
- [On the Fairness of Disentangled Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.13662/) (2019)
- [Modeling The Intensity Function Of Point Process Via Recurrent Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.08982/) (2017)
- [Pairwise Fairness for Ranking and Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.05330/) (2019)
- [Neural Pharmacodynamic State Space Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.11218/) (2021)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Remote Medication Status Prediction for Individuals with Parkinson's Disease using Time-series Data from Smartphones](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.13700/) (2022)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We address the problem of predicting when a disease will develop, i.e., medical event time (MET), from a patient's electronic health record (EHR). The MET of non-communicable diseases like diabetes is highly correlated to cumulative health conditions, more specifically, how much time the patient spent with specific health conditions in the past. The common time-series representation is indirect in extracting such information from EHR because it focuses on detailed dependencies between values in successive observations, not cumulative information. We propose a novel data representation for EHR called cumulative stay-time representation (CTR), which directly models such cumulative health conditions. We derive a trainable construction of CTR based on neural networks that has the flexibility to fit the target data and scalability to handle high-dimensional EHR. Numerical experiments using synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that CTR alone achieves a high prediction performance, and it enhances the performance of existing models when combined with them.
