# Diffusion Models for Counterfactual Explanations

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2203.15636 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.15636/

## Key facts

- Cited by 79 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Diffusion foundations and sampling, one of 14 directions in Diffusion models.
- Builds on 66 of its 78 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 29 Mar 2022.

## Placed in

- Diffusion models / [Diffusion foundations and sampling](https://mlsanity.com/diffusion/diffusion-foundations-and-sampling/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 66)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11239/) (2020)
- [The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Deep Features as a Perceptual Metric](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.03924/) (2018)
- [Denoising Diffusion Implicit Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.02502/) (2020)
- [Score-Based Generative Modeling through Stochastic Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.13456/) (2020)
- [Diffusion Models Beat GANs on Image Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.05233/) (2021)
- [Grad-CAM: Visual Explanations from Deep Networks via Gradient-based Localization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.02391/) (2016)
- [Densely Connected Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1608.06993/) (2016)
- [Towards Deep Learning Models Resistant to Adversarial Attacks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.06083/) (2017)
- [Improved Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.09672/) (2021)
- [Deep Learning Face Attributes in the Wild](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1411.7766/) (2014)
- [Learning Deep Features for Discriminative Localization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.04150/) (2015)
- [SDEdit: Guided Image Synthesis and Editing with Stochastic Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.01073/) (2021)
- [Image Super-Resolution via Iterative Refinement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.07636/) (2021)
- [Interpretability Beyond Feature Attribution: Quantitative Testing with Concept Activation Vectors (TCAV)](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.11279/) (2017)
- [Palette: Image-to-Image Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.05826/) (2021)
- [Counterfactual Explanations without Opening the Black Box: Automated Decisions and the GDPR](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.00399/) (2017)
- [Improved Precision and Recall Metric for Assessing Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.06991/) (2019)
- [Grad-CAM++: Improved Visual Explanations for Deep Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.11063/) (2017)
- [VGGFace2: A dataset for recognising faces across pose and age](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.08092/) (2017)
- [RISE: Randomized Input Sampling for Explanation of Black-box Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07421/) (2018)
- [This Looks Like That: Deep Learning for Interpretable Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.10574/) (2018)
- [ILVR: Conditioning Method for Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.02938/) (2021)
- [Explaining Machine Learning Classifiers through Diverse Counterfactual Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.07697/) (2019)
- [Score-CAM: Score-Weighted Visual Explanations for Convolutional Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.01279/) (2019)
- [Towards Robust Interpretability with Self-Explaining Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07538/) (2018)
- [Label-Efficient Semantic Segmentation with Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.03126/) (2021)
- [Counterfactual Visual Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.07451/) (2019)
- [Explanations based on the Missing: Towards Contrastive Explanations with Pertinent Negatives](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.07623/) (2018)
- [On Completeness-aware Concept-Based Explanations in Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.07969/) (2019)

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 79)

- [Diffusion Models in Vision: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.04747/) (2022)
- [Explainable and Interpretable Multimodal Large Language Models: A Comprehensive Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.02104/) (2024)
- [Adversarial Counterfactual Visual Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.09962/) (2023)
- [LANCE: Stress-testing Visual Models by Generating Language-guided Counterfactual Images](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.19164/) (2023)
- [Fast Diffusion-Based Counterfactuals for Shortcut Removal and Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.14223/) (2023)
- [Stochastic Segmentation with Conditional Categorical Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08888/) (2023)
- [Dataset Interfaces: Diagnosing Model Failures Using Controllable Counterfactual Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.07865/) (2023)
- [OCTET: Object-aware Counterfactual Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.12380/) (2022)
- [Text-to-Image Models for Counterfactual Explanations: a Black-Box Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.07944/) (2023)
- [From Identifiable Causal Representations to Controllable Counterfactual Generation: A Survey on Causal Generative Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.11011/) (2023)
- [Latent Diffusion Counterfactual Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06668/) (2023)
- [Global Counterfactual Directions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.12488/) (2024)
- [DreaMR: Diffusion-driven Counterfactual Explanation for Functional MRI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.09547/) (2023)
- [Rethinking Visual Counterfactual Explanations Through Region Constraint](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.12591/) (2024)
- [Gumbel Counterfactual Generation From Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.07180/) (2024)
- [Diffusion-based Iterative Counterfactual Explanations for Fetal Ultrasound Image Quality Assessment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.08700/) (2024)
- [Probabilistically Plausible Counterfactual Explanations with Normalizing Flows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.17640/) (2024)
- [Emerging Synergies in Causality and Deep Generative Models: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.12351/) (2023)
- [Counterfactual Explanations via Riemannian Latent Space Traversal](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.02259/) (2024)
- [Generating Counterfactual Trajectories with Latent Diffusion Models for Concept Discovery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.10356/) (2024)
- [SAFE-RL: Saliency-Aware Counterfactual Explainer for Deep Reinforcement Learning Policies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.18326/) (2024)
- [Contrast Sets for Evaluating Language-Guided Robot Policies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.13636/) (2024)
- [Towards Desiderata-Driven Design of Visual Counterfactual Explainers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.14698/) (2025)
- [Mitigating Clever Hans Strategies in Image Classifiers through Generating Counterexamples](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.17524/) (2025)
- [Diffusion-based Visual Counterfactual Explanations -- Towards Systematic Quantitative Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.06100/) (2023)
- [DeCoDEx: Confounder Detector Guidance for Improved Diffusion-based Counterfactual Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.09288/) (2024)
- [Causally Steered Diffusion for Automated Video Counterfactual Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.14404/) (2025)
- [SAFE: Saliency-Aware Counterfactual Explanations for DNN-based Automated Driving Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.15786/) (2023)
- [Navigating the Structured What-If Spaces: Counterfactual Generation via Structured Diffusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.13616/) (2023)
- [What could go wrong? Discovering and describing failure modes in computer vision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.04471/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Counterfactual explanations have shown promising results as a post-hoc framework to make image classifiers more explainable. In this paper, we propose DiME, a method allowing the generation of counterfactual images using the recent diffusion models. By leveraging the guided generative diffusion process, our proposed methodology shows how to use the gradients of the target classifier to generate counterfactual explanations of input instances. Further, we analyze current approaches to evaluate spurious correlations and extend the evaluation measurements by proposing a new metric: Correlation Difference. Our experimental validations show that the proposed algorithm surpasses previous State-of-the-Art results on 5 out of 6 metrics on CelebA.