# A CNN-BiLSTM Model with Attention Mechanism for Earthquake Prediction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2112.13444 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.13444/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 5 of its 70 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 26 Dec 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 5 of 5)

- [A Machine-Learning Approach for Earthquake Magnitude Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.05975/) (2019)
- [Recurrent Convolutional Neural Networks help to predict location of Earthquakes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.09140/) (2020)
- [Spatial Graph Convolutional Neural Network via Structured Subdomain Adaptation and Domain Adversarial Learning for Bearing Fault Diagnosis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.06033/) (2021)
- [Deep learning for magnitude prediction in earthquake early warning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.05531/) (2019)
- [Statistical characterization and time-series modeling of seismic noise](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.01549/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [Physics-Informed Deep Learning and Partial Transfer Learning for Bearing Fault Diagnosis in the Presence of Highly Missing Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.11023/) (2024)
- [Knowledge Distillation and Enhanced Subdomain Adaptation Using Graph Convolutional Network for Resource-Constrained Bearing Fault Diagnosis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.07173/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Earthquakes, as natural phenomena, have continuously caused damage and loss of human life historically. Earthquake prediction is an essential aspect of any society's plans and can increase public preparedness and reduce damage to a great extent. Nevertheless, due to the stochastic character of earthquakes and the challenge of achieving an efficient and dependable model for earthquake prediction, efforts have been insufficient thus far, and new methods are required to solve this problem. Aware of these issues, this paper proposes a novel prediction method based on attention mechanism (AM), convolution neural network (CNN), and bi-directional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) models, which can predict the number and maximum magnitude of earthquakes in each area of mainland China-based on the earthquake catalog of the region. This model takes advantage of LSTM and CNN with an attention mechanism to better focus on effective earthquake characteristics and produce more accurate predictions. Firstly, the zero-order hold technique is applied as pre-processing on earthquake data, making the model's input data more proper. Secondly, to effectively use spatial information and reduce dimensions of input data, the CNN is used to capture the spatial dependencies between earthquake data. Thirdly, the Bi-LSTM layer is employed to capture the temporal dependencies. Fourthly, the AM layer is introduced to highlight its important features to achieve better prediction performance. The results show that the proposed method has better performance and generalize ability than other prediction methods.
