# Learning Curves for Continual Learning in Neural Networks: Self-Knowledge Transfer and Forgetting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2112.01653 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.01653/

## Key facts

- Cited by 14 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 25 of its 30 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 3 Dec 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 25 of 25)

- [Overcoming catastrophic forgetting in neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.00796/) (2016)
- [Neural Tangent Kernel: Convergence and Generalization in Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07572/) (2018)
- [Gradient Episodic Memory for Continual Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.08840/) (2017)
- [Understanding deep learning requires rethinking generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.03530/) (2016)
- [Wide Neural Networks of Any Depth Evolve as Linear Models Under Gradient Descent](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.06720/) (2019)
- [Deep Double Descent: Where Bigger Models and More Data Hurt](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.02292/) (2019)
- [Task-Free Continual Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.03596/) (2018)
- [Spectrum Dependent Learning Curves in Kernel Regression and Wide Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.02561/) (2020)
- [On the Theory of Transfer Learning: The Importance of Task Diversity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11650/) (2020)
- [Self-Distillation Amplifies Regularization in Hilbert Space](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.05715/) (2020)
- [Spectral Bias and Task-Model Alignment Explain Generalization in Kernel Regression and Infinitely Wide Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.13198/) (2020)
- [Anatomy of Catastrophic Forgetting: Hidden Representations and Task Semantics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.07400/) (2020)
- [Scaling Limits of Wide Neural Networks with Weight Sharing: Gaussian Process Behavior, Gradient Independence, and Neural Tangent Kernel Derivation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.04760/) (2019)
- [Towards Robust Evaluations of Continual Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.09733/) (2018)
- [Linear Mode Connectivity in Multitask and Continual Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.04495/) (2020)
- [A Theoretical Analysis of Catastrophic Forgetting through the NTK Overlap Matrix](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.04003/) (2020)
- [Continual Learning in the Teacher-Student Setup: Impact of Task Similarity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.04384/) (2021)
- [On the Similarity between the Laplace and Neural Tangent Kernels](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.01580/) (2020)
- [Deep Neural Tangent Kernel and Laplace Kernel Have the Same RKHS](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.10683/) (2020)
- [A PAC-Bayesian bound for Lifelong Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1311.2838/) (2013)
- [Generalisation Guarantees for Continual Learning with Orthogonal Gradient Descent](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11942/) (2020)
- [Tensor Programs IIb: Architectural Universality of Neural Tangent Kernel Training Dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.03703/) (2021)
- [Locality defeats the curse of dimensionality in convolutional teacher-student scenarios](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.08619/) (2021)
- [Spectral Analysis of the Neural Tangent Kernel for Deep Residual Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.03093/) (2021)
- [Rademacher complexity and spin glasses: A link between the replica and statistical theories of learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.02729/) (2019)

## Built on by (most cited first, 14 of 14)

- [A Comprehensive Survey of Continual Learning: Theory, Method and Application](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.00487/) (2023)
- [A Theoretical Study on Solving Continual Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.02633/) (2022)
- [A Comprehensive Survey of Forgetting in Deep Learning Beyond Continual Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.09218/) (2023)
- [Open-World Continual Learning: Unifying Novelty Detection and Continual Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.10038/) (2023)
- [Disentangling and Mitigating the Impact of Task Similarity for Continual Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.20236/) (2024)
- [What Will My Model Forget? Forecasting Forgotten Examples in Language Model Refinement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.01865/) (2024)
- [Advancing continual lifelong learning in neural information retrieval: definition, dataset, framework, and empirical evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.08378/) (2023)
- [Measuring Representational Shifts in Continual Learning: A Linear Transformation Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.20970/) (2025)
- [Data-dependent and Oracle Bounds on Forgetting in Continual Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.09370/) (2024)
- [Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning for Continual Learning: A Neural Tangent Kernel Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.17120/) (2024)
- [On the Theory of Continual Learning with Gradient Descent for Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.05573/) (2025)
- [Graceful Forgetting in Generative Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.19715/) (2025)
- [The Bayesian Approach to Continual Learning: An Overview](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.08922/) (2025)
- [Reactivation: Empirical NTK Dynamics Under Task Shifts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.16039/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Sequential training from task to task is becoming one of the major objects in deep learning applications such as continual learning and transfer learning. Nevertheless, it remains unclear under what conditions the trained model's performance improves or deteriorates. To deepen our understanding of sequential training, this study provides a theoretical analysis of generalization performance in a solvable case of continual learning. We consider neural networks in the neural tangent kernel (NTK) regime that continually learn target functions from task to task, and investigate the generalization by using an established statistical mechanical analysis of kernel ridge-less regression. We first show characteristic transitions from positive to negative transfer. More similar targets above a specific critical value can achieve positive knowledge transfer for the subsequent task while catastrophic forgetting occurs even with very similar targets. Next, we investigate a variant of continual learning which supposes the same target function in multiple tasks. Even for the same target, the trained model shows some transfer and forgetting depending on the sample size of each task. We can guarantee that the generalization error monotonically decreases from task to task for equal sample sizes while unbalanced sample sizes deteriorate the generalization. We respectively refer to these improvement and deterioration as self-knowledge transfer and forgetting, and empirically confirm them in realistic training of deep neural networks as well.
