# AI Assurance using Causal Inference: Application to Public Policy

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2112.00591 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.00591/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 14 of its 41 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 1 Dec 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 14 of 14)

- [Semi-Supervised Classification with Graph Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.02907/) (2016)
- [Inductive Representation Learning on Large Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.02216/) (2017)
- [Convolutional Neural Networks on Graphs with Fast Localized Spectral Filtering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.09375/) (2016)
- [Graph Neural Networks: A Review of Methods and Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.08434/) (2018)
- [Causal Effect Inference with Deep Latent-Variable Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.08821/) (2017)
- [Learning Representations for Counterfactual Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1605.03661/) (2016)
- [DoWhy: An End-to-End Library for Causal Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.04216/) (2020)
- [Learning Counterfactual Representations for Estimating Individual Dose-Response Curves](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.00981/) (2019)
- [Causal Embeddings for Recommendation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.07639/) (2017)
- [Perfect Match: A Simple Method for Learning Representations For Counterfactual Inference With Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.00656/) (2018)
- [Learning Individual Causal Effects from Networked Observational Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.03485/) (2019)
- [Physics-Guided Architecture (PGA) of Neural Networks for Quantifying Uncertainty in Lake Temperature Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.02682/) (2019)
- [Linked Causal Variational Autoencoder for Inferring Paired Spillover Effects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1808.03333/) (2018)
- [A Survey on AI Assurance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.07505/) (2021)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Developing and implementing AI-based solutions help state and federal government agencies, research institutions, and commercial companies enhance decision-making processes, automate chain operations, and reduce the consumption of natural and human resources. At the same time, most AI approaches used in practice can only be represented as "black boxes" and suffer from the lack of transparency. This can eventually lead to unexpected outcomes and undermine trust in such systems. Therefore, it is crucial not only to develop effective and robust AI systems, but to make sure their internal processes are explainable and fair. Our goal in this chapter is to introduce the topic of designing assurance methods for AI systems with high-impact decisions using the example of the technology sector of the US economy. We explain how these fields would benefit from revealing cause-effect relationships between key metrics in the dataset by providing the causal experiment on technology economics dataset. Several causal inference approaches and AI assurance techniques are reviewed and the transformation of the data into a graph-structured dataset is demonstrated.