# Learning to Transfer for Traffic Forecasting via Multi-task Learning

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2111.15542 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.15542/

## Key facts

- Cited by 7 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 32 of its 65 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 27 Nov 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 32)

- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [An Image is Worth 16x16 Words: Transformers for Image Recognition at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.11929/) (2020)
- [U-Net: Convolutional Networks for Biomedical Image Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1505.04597/) (2015)
- [Swin Transformer: Hierarchical Vision Transformer using Shifted Windows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.14030/) (2021)
- [Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning for Fast Adaptation of Deep Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.03400/) (2017)
- [Learning Phrase Representations using RNN Encoder-Decoder for Statistical Machine Translation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1406.1078/) (2014)
- [Domain-Adversarial Training of Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1505.07818/) (2015)
- [UNet++: A Nested U-Net Architecture for Medical Image Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.10165/) (2018)
- [Group Normalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.08494/) (2018)
- [Convolutional LSTM Network: A Machine Learning Approach for Precipitation Nowcasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.04214/) (2015)
- [Adversarial Discriminative Domain Adaptation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.05464/) (2017)
- [Deep CORAL: Correlation Alignment for Deep Domain Adaptation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1607.01719/) (2016)
- [An Overview of Multi-Task Learning in Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.05098/) (2017)
- [Deep Visual Domain Adaptation: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.03601/) (2018)
- [Deep Domain Confusion: Maximizing for Domain Invariance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.3474/) (2014)
- [GMAN: A Graph Multi-Attention Network for Traffic Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.08415/) (2019)
- [T-GCN: A Temporal Graph ConvolutionalNetwork for Traffic Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.05320/) (2018)
- [Bridging Theory and Algorithm for Domain Adaptation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.05801/) (2019)
- [Domain Separation Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1608.06019/) (2016)
- [Revisiting Batch Normalization For Practical Domain Adaptation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.04779/) (2016)
- [Deep Learning for Precipitation Nowcasting: A Benchmark and A New Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03458/) (2017)
- [Correlation Alignment for Unsupervised Domain Adaptation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01939/) (2016)
- [PredRNN++: Towards A Resolution of the Deep-in-Time Dilemma in Spatiotemporal Predictive Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.06300/) (2018)
- [Clockwork Convnets for Video Semantic Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1608.03609/) (2016)
- [Domain Adaptive Neural Networks for Object Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.6041/) (2014)
- [Domain-adversarial neural networks to address the appearance variability of histopathology images](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.06183/) (2017)
- [A Unified Perspective on Multi-Domain and Multi-Task Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.7489/) (2014)
- [Multi-task learning for natural language processing in the 2020s: where are we going?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.16008/) (2020)
- [DeepSaliency: Multi-Task Deep Neural Network Model for Salient Object Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1510.05484/) (2015)
- [CrevNet: Conditionally Reversible Video Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.11577/) (2019)

## Built on by (most cited first, 7 of 7)

- [Domain Adversarial Spatial-Temporal Network: A Transferable Framework for Short-term Traffic Forecasting across Cities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.03630/) (2022)
- [Traffic4cast at NeurIPS 2021 -- Temporal and Spatial Few-Shot Transfer Learning in Gridded Geo-Spatial Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.17070/) (2022)
- [MobilityDL: A Review of Deep Learning From Trajectory Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.00732/) (2024)
- [A Graph-based U-Net Model for Predicting Traffic in unseen Cities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.06725/) (2022)
- [An Efficient Two-stage Gradient Boosting Framework for Short-term Traffic State Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.10400/) (2023)
- [Uncertainty Quantification for Image-based Traffic Prediction across Cities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.06129/) (2023)
- [A Road-Conditioned Traffic Movie Prediction Network with Spatiotemporal and Structure-Consistent Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.27884/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Deep neural networks have demonstrated superior performance in short-term traffic forecasting. However, most existing traffic forecasting systems assume that the training and testing data are drawn from the same underlying distribution, which limits their practical applicability. The NeurIPS 2021 Traffic4cast challenge is the first of its kind dedicated to benchmarking the robustness of traffic forecasting models towards domain shifts in space and time. This technical report describes our solution to this challenge. In particular, we present a multi-task learning framework for temporal and spatio-temporal domain adaptation of traffic forecasting models. Experimental results demonstrate that our multi-task learning approach achieves strong empirical performance, outperforming a number of baseline domain adaptation methods, while remaining highly efficient. The source code for this technical report is available at https://github.com/YichaoLu/Traffic4cast2021.
