# Predicting the success of Gradient Descent for a particular Dataset-Architecture-Initialization (DAI)

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2111.13075 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.13075/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 12 of its 17 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 25 Nov 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [Delving Deep into Rectifiers: Surpassing Human-Level Performance on ImageNet Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1502.01852/) (2015)
- [The Lottery Ticket Hypothesis: Finding Sparse, Trainable Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.03635/) (2018)
- [DARTS: Differentiable Architecture Search](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.09055/) (2018)
- [Understanding deep learning requires rethinking generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.03530/) (2016)
- [Neural Architecture Search with Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.01578/) (2016)
- [Energy and Policy Considerations for Deep Learning in NLP](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.02243/) (2019)
- [Exact solutions to the nonlinear dynamics of learning in deep linear neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1312.6120/) (2013)
- [Learning to learn by gradient descent by gradient descent](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.04474/) (2016)
- [Searching Efficient 3D Architectures with Sparse Point-Voxel Convolution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.16100/) (2020)
- [Gradient-based Hyperparameter Optimization through Reversible Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1502.03492/) (2015)
- [Stronger generalization bounds for deep nets via a compression approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.05296/) (2018)
- [Neural Network Compression Framework for fast model inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.08679/) (2020)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Despite their massive success, training successful deep neural networks still largely relies on experimentally choosing an architecture, hyper-parameters, initialization, and training mechanism. In this work, we focus on determining the success of standard gradient descent method for training deep neural networks on a specified dataset, architecture, and initialization (DAI) combination. Through extensive systematic experiments, we show that the evolution of singular values of the matrix obtained from the hidden layers of a DNN can aid in determining the success of gradient descent technique to train a DAI, even in the absence of validation labels in the supervised learning paradigm. This phenomenon can facilitate early give-up, stopping the training of neural networks which are predicted to not generalize well, early in the training process. Our experimentation across multiple datasets, architectures, and initializations reveals that the proposed scores can more accurately predict the success of a DAI than simply relying on the validation accuracy at earlier epochs to make a judgment.
