# Network-wide Multi-step Traffic Volume Prediction using Graph Convolutional Gated Recurrent Neural Network

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2111.11337 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.11337/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 14 of its 65 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 22 Nov 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 14 of 14)

- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [Semi-Supervised Classification with Graph Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.02907/) (2016)
- [A Comprehensive Survey on Graph Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.00596/) (2019)
- [Empirical Evaluation of Gated Recurrent Neural Networks on Sequence Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.3555/) (2014)
- [Convolutional Neural Networks on Graphs with Fast Localized Spectral Filtering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.09375/) (2016)
- [Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.04875/) (2017)
- [T-GCN: A Temporal Graph ConvolutionalNetwork for Traffic Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.05320/) (2018)
- [Traffic Graph Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network: A Deep Learning Framework for Network-Scale Traffic Learning and Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.07007/) (2018)
- [Learning Traffic as Images: A Deep Convolutional Neural Network for Large-Scale Transportation Network Speed Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1701.04245/) (2017)
- [Predicting Station-level Hourly Demands in a Large-scale Bike-sharing Network: A Graph Convolutional Neural Network Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.04997/) (2017)
- [ADAPS: Autonomous Driving Via Principled Simulations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.08874/) (2019)
- [A Hybrid Method for Traffic Flow Forecasting Using Multimodal Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.02099/) (2018)
- [Spatial-temporal Analysis of COVID-19's Impact on Human Mobility: the Case of the United States](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.03707/) (2020)
- [Data-Driven Multi-step Demand Prediction for Ride-hailing Services Using Convolutional Neural Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.03441/) (2019)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Accurate prediction of network-wide traffic conditions is essential for intelligent transportation systems. In the last decade, machine learning techniques have been widely used for this task, resulting in state-of-the-art performance. We propose a novel deep learning model, Graph Convolutional Gated Recurrent Neural Network (GCGRNN), to predict network-wide, multi-step traffic volume. GCGRNN can automatically capture spatial correlations between traffic sensors and temporal dependencies in historical traffic data. We have evaluated our model using two traffic datasets extracted from 150 sensors in Los Angeles, California, at the time resolutions one hour and 15 minutes, respectively. The results show that our model outperforms the other five benchmark models in terms of prediction accuracy. For instance, our model reduces MAE by 25.3%, RMSE by 29.2%, and MAPE by 20.2%, compared to the state-of-the-art Diffusion Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network (DCRNN) model using the hourly dataset. Our model also achieves faster training than DCRNN by up to 52%. The data and implementation of GCGRNN can be found at https://github.com/leilin-research/GCGRNN.