# Stock Price Prediction Using Time Series, Econometric, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning Models

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2111.01137 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.01137/

## Key facts

- Cited by 5 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 6 of its 28 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 1 Nov 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 6 of 6)

- [Stock Price Prediction Using Machine Learning and LSTM-Based Deep Learning Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.10819/) (2020)
- [A Robust Predictive Model for Stock Price Prediction Using Deep Learning and Natural Language Processing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.07700/) (2019)
- [Stock Price Prediction Using CNN and LSTM-Based Deep Learning Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.13891/) (2020)
- [A Time Series Analysis-Based Stock Price Prediction Using Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.11697/) (2020)
- [Accurate Stock Price Forecasting Using Robust and Optimized Deep Learning Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.15096/) (2021)
- [Profitability Analysis in Stock Investment Using an LSTM-Based Deep Learning Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.06259/) (2021)

## Built on by (most cited first, 5 of 5)

- [LLM4TS: Aligning Pre-Trained LLMs as Data-Efficient Time-Series Forecasters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.08469/) (2023)
- [A Comparative Analysis of Portfolio Optimization Using Mean-Variance, Hierarchical Risk Parity, and Reinforcement Learning Approaches on the Indian Stock Market](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.17523/) (2023)
- [Performance Evaluation of Equal-Weight Portfolio and Optimum Risk Portfolio on Indian Stocks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.13696/) (2023)
- [Exploring Sectoral Profitability in the Indian Stock Market Using Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.01572/) (2024)
- [Stock Price Prediction and Traditional Models: An Approach to Achieve Short-, Medium- and Long-Term Goals](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.07220/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

For a long-time, researchers have been developing a reliable and accurate predictive model for stock price prediction. According to the literature, if predictive models are correctly designed and refined, they can painstakingly and faithfully estimate future stock values. This paper demonstrates a set of time series, econometric, and various learning-based models for stock price prediction. The data of Infosys, ICICI, and SUN PHARMA from the period of January 2004 to December 2019 was used here for training and testing the models to know which model performs best in which sector. One time series model (Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing), one econometric model (ARIMA), two machine Learning models (Random Forest and MARS), and two deep learning-based models (simple RNN and LSTM) have been included in this paper. MARS has been proved to be the best performing machine learning model, while LSTM has proved to be the best performing deep learning model. But overall, for all three sectors - IT (on Infosys data), Banking (on ICICI data), and Health (on SUN PHARMA data), MARS has proved to be the best performing model in sales forecasting.