# Identifying and Benchmarking Natural Out-of-Context Prediction Problems

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2110.13223 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.13223/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 41 of its 79 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 25 Oct 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 41)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [Microsoft COCO: Common Objects in Context](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1405.0312/) (2014)
- [Sentence-BERT: Sentence Embeddings using Siamese BERT-Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.10084/) (2019)
- [ImageNet Large Scale Visual Recognition Challenge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.0575/) (2014)
- [Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.08361/) (2020)
- [On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04599/) (2017)
- [Benchmarking Neural Network Robustness to Common Corruptions and Perturbations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.12261/) (2019)
- [A Baseline for Detecting Misclassified and Out-of-Distribution Examples in Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.02136/) (2016)
- [FiLM: Visual Reasoning with a General Conditioning Layer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.07871/) (2017)
- [Shortcut Learning in Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.07780/) (2020)
- [Invariant Risk Minimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.02893/) (2019)
- [ImageNet-trained CNNs are biased towards texture; increasing shape bias improves accuracy and robustness](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.12231/) (2018)
- [Natural Adversarial Examples](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.07174/) (2019)
- [WILDS: A Benchmark of in-the-Wild Distribution Shifts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.07421/) (2020)
- [Distributionally Robust Neural Networks for Group Shifts: On the Importance of Regularization for Worst-Case Generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.08731/) (2019)
- [In Search of Lost Domain Generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.01434/) (2020)
- [COCO-Stuff: Thing and Stuff Classes in Context](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.03716/) (2016)
- [Out-of-Distribution Generalization via Risk Extrapolation (REx)](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.00688/) (2020)
- [Causal inference using invariant prediction: identification and confidence intervals](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1501.01332/) (2015)
- [Underspecification Presents Challenges for Credibility in Modern Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.03395/) (2020)
- [The Pitfalls of Simplicity Bias in Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.07710/) (2020)
- [Noise or Signal: The Role of Image Backgrounds in Object Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.09994/) (2020)
- [Benchmarking Robustness in Object Detection: Autonomous Driving when Winter is Coming](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.07484/) (2019)
- [Environment Inference for Invariant Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.07249/) (2020)
- [Learning Not to Learn: Training Deep Neural Networks with Biased Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.10352/) (2018)
- [Improving the Adversarial Robustness and Interpretability of Deep Neural Networks by Regularizing their Input Gradients](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.09404/) (2017)
- [Hidden Stratification Causes Clinically Meaningful Failures in Machine Learning for Medical Imaging](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.12475/) (2019)
- [Stress Test Evaluation for Natural Language Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.00692/) (2018)
- [Statistics of Robust Optimization: A Generalized Empirical Likelihood Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.03425/) (2016)
- [Variance-based regularization with convex objectives](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.02581/) (2016)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [Challenges and Opportunities in Improving Worst-Group Generalization in Presence of Spurious Features](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.11957/) (2023)
- [Detecting out-of-context objects using contextual cues](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.05930/) (2022)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Deep learning systems frequently fail at out-of-context (OOC) prediction, the problem of making reliable predictions on uncommon or unusual inputs or subgroups of the training distribution. To this end, a number of benchmarks for measuring OOC performance have recently been introduced. In this work, we introduce a framework unifying the literature on OOC performance measurement, and demonstrate how rich auxiliary information can be leveraged to identify candidate sets of OOC examples in existing datasets. We present NOOCh: a suite of naturally-occurring "challenge sets", and show how varying notions of context can be used to probe specific OOC failure modes. Experimentally, we explore the tradeoffs between various learning approaches on these challenge sets and demonstrate how the choices made in designing OOC benchmarks can yield varying conclusions.