# Uncertainty-Aware Training for Cardiac Resynchronisation Therapy Response Prediction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2109.10641 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.10641/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 7 of its 17 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 22 Sep 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 7 of 7)

- [A Baseline for Detecting Misclassified and Out-of-Distribution Examples in Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.02136/) (2016)
- [Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty in Machine Learning: An Introduction to Concepts and Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.09457/) (2019)
- [Selective Classification for Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.08500/) (2017)
- [A Review of Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Learning: Techniques, Applications and Challenges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.06225/) (2020)
- [A Probabilistic U-Net for Segmentation of Ambiguous Images](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.05034/) (2018)
- [Self-explaining AI as an alternative to interpretable AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.05149/) (2020)
- [Interpretable Deep Models for Cardiac Resynchronisation Therapy Response Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.13811/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Uncertainty Aware Training to Improve Deep Learning Model Calibration for Classification of Cardiac MR Images](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.15141/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Evaluation of predictive deep learning (DL) models beyond conventional performance metrics has become increasingly important for applications in sensitive environments like healthcare. Such models might have the capability to encode and analyse large sets of data but they often lack comprehensive interpretability methods, preventing clinical trust in predictive outcomes. Quantifying uncertainty of a prediction is one way to provide such interpretability and promote trust. However, relatively little attention has been paid to how to include such requirements into the training of the model. In this paper we: (i) quantify the data (aleatoric) and model (epistemic) uncertainty of a DL model for Cardiac Resynchronisation Therapy response prediction from cardiac magnetic resonance images, and (ii) propose and perform a preliminary investigation of an uncertainty-aware loss function that can be used to retrain an existing DL image-based classification model to encourage confidence in correct predictions and reduce confidence in incorrect predictions. Our initial results are promising, showing a significant increase in the (epistemic) confidence of true positive predictions, with some evidence of a reduction in false negative confidence.
