# Sharp global convergence guarantees for iterative nonconvex optimization: A Gaussian process perspective

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2109.09859 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.09859/

## Key facts

- Cited by 10 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 33 of its 109 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 20 Sep 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 33)

- [Non-convex Optimization for Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.07897/) (2017)
- [Phase Retrieval via Wirtinger Flow: Theory and Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1407.1065/) (2014)
- [Matrix Completion has No Spurious Local Minimum](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1605.07272/) (2016)
- [A Geometric Analysis of Phase Retrieval](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.06664/) (2016)
- [Phase Retrieval using Alternating Minimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1306.0160/) (2013)
- [Statistical and Computational Guarantees of Lloyd's Algorithm and its Variants](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.02099/) (2016)
- [Generalization error in high-dimensional perceptrons: Approaching Bayes error with convex optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.06560/) (2020)
- [Precise Statistical Analysis of Classification Accuracies for Adversarial Training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.11213/) (2020)
- [A unifying tutorial on Approximate Message Passing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.02180/) (2021)
- [A Precise High-Dimensional Asymptotic Theory for Boosting and Minimum-ℓ1-Norm Interpolated Classifiers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.01586/) (2020)
- [A framework to characterize performance of LASSO algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1303.7291/) (2013)
- [The Lasso with general Gaussian designs with applications to hypothesis testing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.13716/) (2020)
- [Phase retrieval in high dimensions: Statistical and computational phase transitions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.05228/) (2020)
- [Singularity, Misspecification, and the Convergence Rate of EM](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.00828/) (2018)
- [The Impact of Regularization on High-dimensional Logistic Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.03761/) (2019)
- [Online Stochastic Gradient Descent with Arbitrary Initialization Solves Non-smooth, Non-convex Phase Retrieval](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.12837/) (2019)
- [Low-rank matrix recovery with composite optimization: good conditioning and rapid convergence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.10020/) (2019)
- [From Symmetry to Geometry: Tractable Nonconvex Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.06753/) (2020)
- [The generalization error of max-margin linear classifiers: Benign overfitting and high dimensional asymptotics in the overparametrized regime](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.01544/) (2019)
- [Randomly initialized EM algorithm for two-component Gaussian mixture achieves near optimality in O(√n) iterations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.10935/) (2019)
- [Regularly random duality](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1303.7295/) (2013)
- [Estimating the Coefficients of a Mixture of Two Linear Regressions by Expectation Maximization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.08231/) (2017)
- [Phase retrieval with random Gaussian sensing vectors by alternating projections](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.03088/) (2016)
- [Max-Affine Regression: Provable, Tractable, and Near-Optimal Statistical Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.09255/) (2019)
- [Asymptotic Behavior of Adversarial Training in Binary Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.13275/) (2020)
- [Upper-bounding ℓ1-optimization weak thresholds](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1303.7289/) (2013)
- [Halting Time is Predictable for Large Models: A Universality Property and Average-case Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.04299/) (2020)
- [Instability, Computational Efficiency and Statistical Accuracy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.11411/) (2020)
- [Statistical and Computational Guarantees for the Baum-Welch Algorithm](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.08269/) (2015)
- [Benefits of over-parameterization with EM](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.11344/) (2018)

## Built on by (most cited first, 10 of 10)

- [A New Central Limit Theorem for the Augmented IPW Estimator: Variance Inflation, Cross-Fit Covariance and Beyond](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.10198/) (2022)
- [High-dimensional logistic regression with missing data: Imputation, regularization, and universality](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.01093/) (2024)
- [Online Learning and Information Exponents: On The Importance of Batch size, and Time/Complexity Tradeoffs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.02157/) (2024)
- [Statistical Inference for Linear Functionals of Online SGD in High-dimensional Linear Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.09727/) (2023)
- [Sharp analysis of EM for learning mixtures of pairwise differences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.10066/) (2023)
- [Unveiling the Cycloid Trajectory of EM Iterations in Mixed Linear Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.18237/) (2024)
- [Agnostic Learning of Mixed Linear Regressions with EM and AM Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.01149/) (2024)
- [Statistical Inference for Linear Functionals of Online Least-squares SGD when t gtrsim d1+δ](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.19734/) (2025)
- [Estimating Generalization Performance Along the Trajectory of Proximal SGD in Robust Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.02629/) (2024)
- [Expectation Maximization (EM) Converges for General Agnostic Mixtures](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.05842/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We consider a general class of regression models with normally distributed covariates, and the associated nonconvex problem of fitting these models from data. We develop a general recipe for analyzing the convergence of iterative algorithms for this task from a random initialization. In particular, provided each iteration can be written as the solution to a convex optimization problem satisfying some natural conditions, we leverage Gaussian comparison theorems to derive a deterministic sequence that provides sharp upper and lower bounds on the error of the algorithm with sample-splitting. Crucially, this deterministic sequence accurately captures both the convergence rate of the algorithm and the eventual error floor in the finite-sample regime, and is distinct from the commonly used "population" sequence that results from taking the infinite-sample limit. We apply our general framework to derive several concrete consequences for parameter estimation in popular statistical models including phase retrieval and mixtures of regressions. Provided the sample size scales near-linearly in the dimension, we show sharp global convergence rates for both higher-order algorithms based on alternating updates and first-order algorithms based on subgradient descent. These corollaries, in turn, yield multiple consequences, including: (a) Proof that higher-order algorithms can converge significantly faster than their first-order counterparts (and sometimes super-linearly), even if the two share the same population update and (b) Intricacies in super-linear convergence behavior for higher-order algorithms, which can be nonstandard (e.g., with exponent 3/2) and sensitive to the noise level in the problem. We complement these results with extensive numerical experiments, which show excellent agreement with our theoretical predictions.
