# Low-Shot Validation: Active Importance Sampling for Estimating Classifier Performance on Rare Categories

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2109.05720 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.05720/

## Key facts

- Cited by 7 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 17 of its 34 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 13 Sep 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 17 of 17)

- [ImageNet Large Scale Visual Recognition Challenge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.0575/) (2014)
- [On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04599/) (2017)
- [Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning for Fast Adaptation of Deep Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.03400/) (2017)
- [Bootstrap your own latent: A new approach to self-supervised Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.07733/) (2020)
- [Unsupervised Learning of Visual Features by Contrasting Cluster Assignments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.09882/) (2020)
- [Big Self-Supervised Models are Strong Semi-Supervised Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.10029/) (2020)
- [On First-Order Meta-Learning Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.02999/) (2018)
- [Deep Bayesian Active Learning with Image Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.02910/) (2017)
- [Data-Efficient Image Recognition with Contrastive Predictive Coding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.09272/) (2019)
- [Snorkel: Rapid Training Data Creation with Weak Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.10160/) (2017)
- [A survey on Semi-, Self- and Unsupervised Learning for Image Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.08721/) (2020)
- [A Framework For Contrastive Self-Supervised Learning And Designing A New Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.00104/) (2020)
- [Boosting Operational DNN Testing Efficiency through Conditioning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.02533/) (2019)
- [Active Testing: An Efficient and Robust Framework for Estimating Accuracy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.00493/) (2018)
- [Efficient Test Collection Construction via Active Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.05605/) (2018)
- [Near Optimal Stratified Sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.11289/) (2019)
- [Not Your Grandfathers Test Set: Reducing Labeling Effort for Testing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.05499/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 7 of 7)

- [How Much More Data Do I Need? Estimating Requirements for Downstream Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.01725/) (2022)
- [A Framework for Efficient Model Evaluation through Stratification, Sampling, and Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.07320/) (2024)
- [Calibrated Decisions at Scale: Converting Police Crash Narratives into Probabilistic Crash Variables with a System One Model (Jev)](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.24052/) (2026)
- [A Survey of Dataset Refinement for Problems in Computer Vision Datasets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.11717/) (2022)
- [Simple Weak Coresets for Non-Decomposable Classification Measures](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.09885/) (2023)
- [CEREAL: Few-Sample Clustering Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.00064/) (2022)
- [Label-Efficient Monitoring of Classification Models via Stratified Importance Sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.22326/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

For machine learning models trained with limited labeled training data, validation stands to become the main bottleneck to reducing overall annotation costs. We propose a statistical validation algorithm that accurately estimates the F-score of binary classifiers for rare categories, where finding relevant examples to evaluate on is particularly challenging. Our key insight is that simultaneous calibration and importance sampling enables accurate estimates even in the low-sample regime (< 300 samples). Critically, we also derive an accurate single-trial estimator of the variance of our method and demonstrate that this estimator is empirically accurate at low sample counts, enabling a practitioner to know how well they can trust a given low-sample estimate. When validating state-of-the-art semi-supervised models on ImageNet and iNaturalist2017, our method achieves the same estimates of model performance with up to 10x fewer labels than competing approaches. In particular, we can estimate model F1 scores with a variance of 0.005 using as few as 100 labels.
