# College Student Retention Risk Analysis From Educational Database using Multi-Task Multi-Modal Neural Fusion

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2109.05178 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.05178/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 8 of its 34 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 11 Sep 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 8 of 8)

- [BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.04805/) (2018)
- [Deep Learning Face Attributes in the Wild](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1411.7766/) (2014)
- [Distributed Representations of Sentences and Documents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1405.4053/) (2014)
- [AI Fairness 360: An Extensible Toolkit for Detecting, Understanding, and Mitigating Unwanted Algorithmic Bias](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.01943/) (2018)
- [A Hierarchical Multi-task Approach for Learning Embeddings from Semantic Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.06031/) (2018)
- [The Microsoft Toolkit of Multi-Task Deep Neural Networks for Natural Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.07972/) (2020)
- [Should College Dropout Prediction Models Include Protected Attributes?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.15237/) (2021)
- [Synthetic Minority Over-sampling TEchnique(SMOTE) for Predicting Software Build Outcomes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1407.2330/) (2014)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Fairness and Bias in Multimodal AI: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.19097/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We develop a Multimodal Spatiotemporal Neural Fusion network for Multi-Task Learning (MSNF-MTCL) to predict 5 important students' retention risks: future dropout, next semester dropout, type of dropout, duration of dropout and cause of dropout. First, we develop a general purpose multi-modal neural fusion network model MSNF for learning students' academic information representation by fusing spatial and temporal unstructured advising notes with spatiotemporal structured data. MSNF combines a Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT)-based document embedding framework to represent each advising note, Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) network to model temporal advising note embeddings, LSTM network to model students' temporal performance variables and students' static demographics altogether. The final fused representation from MSNF has been utilized on a Multi-Task Cascade Learning (MTCL) model towards building MSNF-MTCL for predicting 5 student retention risks. We evaluate MSNFMTCL on a large educational database consists of 36,445 college students over 18 years period of time that provides promising performances comparing with the nearest state-of-art models. Additionally, we test the fairness of such model given the existence of biases.
