# Disentangled Generative Models for Robust Prediction of System Dynamics

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2108.11684 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.11684/

## Key facts

- Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 26 of its 46 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 26 Aug 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 26 of 26)

- [Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.07436/) (2020)
- [Learning Latent Dynamics for Planning from Pixels](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.04551/) (2018)
- [Disentangling by Factorising](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.05983/) (2018)
- [Machine Learning for Fluid Mechanics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.11075/) (2019)
- [Inductive Biases for Deep Learning of Higher-Level Cognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.15091/) (2020)
- [Causality for Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.10500/) (2019)
- [Variational Inference of Disentangled Latent Concepts from Unlabeled Observations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.00848/) (2017)
- [Weakly-Supervised Disentanglement Without Compromises](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.02886/) (2020)
- [Recent Advances in Autoencoder-Based Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.05069/) (2018)
- [Dynamical Variational Autoencoders: A Comprehensive Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.12595/) (2020)
- [Disentangled Sequential Autoencoder](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.02991/) (2018)
- [Discovering physical concepts with neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.10300/) (2018)
- [A Disentangled Recognition and Nonlinear Dynamics Model for Unsupervised Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.05741/) (2017)
- [Disentangling factors of variation in deep representations using adversarial training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.03383/) (2016)
- [Measuring Disentanglement: A Review of Metrics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.09276/) (2020)
- [Physics-Integrated Variational Autoencoders for Robust and Interpretable Generative Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.13156/) (2021)
- [Disentangling Factors of Variation Using Few Labels](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.01258/) (2019)
- [A Sober Look at the Unsupervised Learning of Disentangled Representations and their Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.14766/) (2020)
- [Clockwork Variational Autoencoders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.09532/) (2021)
- [Comparing recurrent and convolutional neural networks for predicting wave propagation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.08981/) (2020)
- [Disentangled State Space Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.03255/) (2019)
- [Customizing Sequence Generation with Multi-Task Dynamical Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.05026/) (2019)
- [Deep Learning for Efficient Reconstruction of High-Resolution Turbulent DNS Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.11348/) (2020)
- [Real-time System Identification Using Deep Learning for Linear Processes with Application to Unmanned Aerial Vehicles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.08603/) (2020)
- [Variational inference formulation for a model-free simulation of a dynamical system with unknown parameters by a recurrent neural network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.01184/) (2020)
- [Joint Parameter Discovery and Generative Modeling of Dynamic Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.10905/) (2021)

## Built on by (most cited first, 8 of 8)

- [Out-of-Domain Generalization in Dynamical Systems Reconstruction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.18377/) (2024)
- [Learning Interpretable Hierarchical Dynamical Systems Models from Time Series Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.04814/) (2024)
- [PGODE: Towards High-quality System Dynamics Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.06554/) (2023)
- [Spatio-Temporal Fluid Dynamics Modeling via Physical-Awareness and Parameter Diffusion Guidance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.13850/) (2024)
- [System-Aware Neural ODE Processes for Few-Shot Bayesian Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.02352/) (2024)
- [Disentangled Representation Learning for Parametric Partial Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.02136/) (2024)
- [Stretched and measured neural predictions of complex network dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.04900/) (2023)
- [Drivetrain simulation using variational autoencoders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.17653/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Deep neural networks have become increasingly of interest in dynamical system prediction, but out-of-distribution generalization and long-term stability still remains challenging. In this work, we treat the domain parameters of dynamical systems as factors of variation of the data generating process. By leveraging ideas from supervised disentanglement and causal factorization, we aim to separate the domain parameters from the dynamics in the latent space of generative models. In our experiments we model dynamics both in phase space and in video sequences and conduct rigorous OOD evaluations. Results indicate that disentangled VAEs adapt better to domain parameters spaces that were not present in the training data. At the same time, disentanglement can improve the long-term and out-of-distribution predictions of state-of-the-art models in video sequences.
