# Spatiotemporal information conversion machine for time-series prediction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.01353 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.01353/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 7 of its 54 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 3 Jul 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 7 of 7)

- [Learning Phrase Representations using RNN Encoder-Decoder for Statistical Machine Translation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1406.1078/) (2014)
- [An Empirical Evaluation of Generic Convolutional and Recurrent Networks for Sequence Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.01271/) (2018)
- [Language Modeling with Gated Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.08083/) (2016)
- [Temporal Convolutional Networks for Action Segmentation and Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.05267/) (2016)
- [Spatial-Temporal Fusion Graph Neural Networks for Traffic Flow Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.09641/) (2020)
- [A Convolutional Encoder Model for Neural Machine Translation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.02344/) (2016)
- [Pay Attention to Evolution: Time Series Forecasting with Deep Graph-Evolution Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.12833/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [Ultralow-dimensionality reduction for identifying critical transitions by spatial-temporal PCA](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.12582/) (2025)
- [Delayformer: spatiotemporal transformation for predicting high-dimensional dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.11528/) (2025)
- [ASTEROID: A Spatiotemporal Information Transformer for Forecasting Multi-Step Time Series of Molecular Dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.17668/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Making predictions in a robust way is a difficult task only based on the observed data of a nonlinear system. In this work, a neural network computing framework, the spatiotemporal information conversion machine (STICM), was developed to efficiently and accurately render a multistep-ahead prediction of a time series by employing a spatial-temporal information (STI) transformation. STICM combines the advantages of both the STI equation and the temporal convolutional network, which maps the high-dimensional/spatial data to the future temporal values of a target variable, thus naturally providing the prediction of the target variable. From the observed variables, the STICM also infers the causal factors of the target variable in the sense of Granger causality, which are in turn selected as effective spatial information to improve the prediction robustness of time-series. The STICM was successfully applied to both benchmark systems and real-world datasets, all of which show superior and robust performance in multistep-ahead prediction, even when the data were perturbed by noise. From both theoretical and computational viewpoints, the STICM has great potential in practical applications in artificial intelligence (AI) or as a model-free method based only on the observed data, and also opens a new way to explore the observed high-dimensional data in a dynamical manner for machine learning.
