# Next Generation Reservoir Computing

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.07688 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.07688/

## Key facts

- Cited by 160 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 13 of its 39 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 14 Jun 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 13 of 13)

- [Fourier Neural Operator for Parametric Partial Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.08895/) (2020)
- [Backpropagation Algorithms and Reservoir Computing in Recurrent Neural Networks for the Forecasting of Complex Spatiotemporal Dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.05266/) (2019)
- [Reservoir Computing Universality With Stochastic Inputs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.02621/) (2018)
- [Forecasting Chaotic Systems with Very Low Connectivity Reservoir Computers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.00659/) (2019)
- [Combining Machine Learning with Knowledge-Based Modeling for Scalable Forecasting and Subgrid-Scale Closure of Large, Complex, Spatiotemporal Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.05514/) (2020)
- [Echo State Networks trained by Tikhonov least squares are L2(μ) approximators of ergodic dynamical systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.06967/) (2020)
- [Using Data Assimilation to Train a Hybrid Forecast System that Combines Machine-Learning and Knowledge-Based Components](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.07819/) (2021)
- [How Entropic Regression Beats the Outliers Problem in Nonlinear System Identification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.08061/) (2019)
- [Bayesian optimization of hyper-parameters in reservoir computing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.05193/) (2016)
- [Determination of the edge of criticality in echo state networks through Fisher information maximization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.03685/) (2016)
- [Model-Free Control of Dynamical Systems with Deep Reservoir Computing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.02285/) (2020)
- [Bayesian optimisation of large-scale photonic reservoir computers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.02535/) (2020)
- [Accuracy of neural networks for the simulation of chaotic dynamics: precision of training data vs precision of the algorithm](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.04222/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 160)

- [Machine learning with data assimilation and uncertainty quantification for dynamical systems: a review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.10462/) (2023)
- [A Framework for Machine Learning of Model Error in Dynamical Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.06658/) (2021)
- [Out-of-Domain Generalization in Dynamical Systems Reconstruction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.18377/) (2024)
- [Training an Ising Machine with Equilibrium Propagation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.18321/) (2023)
- [Zero-shot forecasting of chaotic systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.15771/) (2024)
- [Model scale versus domain knowledge in statistical forecasting of chaotic systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08011/) (2023)
- [A Survey on Reservoir Computing and its Interdisciplinary Applications Beyond Traditional Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.15092/) (2023)
- [Combining machine learning and data assimilation to forecast dynamical systems from noisy partial observations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.03561/) (2021)
- [Model-free inference of unseen attractors: Reconstructing phase space features from a single noisy trajectory using reservoir computing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.04074/) (2021)
- [Learning Spatiotemporal Chaos Using Next-Generation Reservoir Computing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.13294/) (2022)
- [Parsimonious Physics-Informed Random Projection Neural Networks for Initial-Value Problems of ODEs and index-1 DAEs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.05337/) (2022)
- [Context parroting: A simple but tough-to-beat baseline for foundation models in scientific machine learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.11349/) (2025)
- [Learning strange attractors with reservoir systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.05024/) (2021)
- [Analogue and Physical Reservoir Computing Using Water Waves](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.09095/) (2023)
- [Integrating Multimodal Data for Joint Generative Modeling of Complex Dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.07892/) (2022)
- [Model-free tracking control of complex dynamical trajectories with machine learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.11470/) (2023)
- [Panda: A pretrained forecast model for chaotic dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.13755/) (2025)
- [Learning unseen coexisting attractors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.14133/) (2022)
- [Catch-22s of reservoir computing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.10211/) (2022)
- [Controlling Chaos Using Edge Computing Hardware](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.12876/) (2024)
- [Embedding Theory of Reservoir Computing and Reducing Reservoir Network Using Time Delays](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.09042/) (2023)
- [Extrapolating tipping points and simulating non-stationary dynamics of complex systems using efficient machine learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.06283/) (2023)
- [Classical and Quantum Physical Reservoir Computing for Onboard Artificial Intelligence Systems: A Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.04717/) (2024)
- [Data-driven model discovery with Kolmogorov-Arnold networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.15167/) (2024)
- [Infinite-dimensional next-generation reservoir computing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.09800/) (2024)
- [Reservoir kernels and Volterra series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.14641/) (2022)
- [Koopman-informed recurrent neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.23467/) (2024)
- [Learning dynamical systems with hit-and-run random feature maps](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.06661/) (2025)
- [Exploring the limits of multifunctionality across different reservoir computers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.11375/) (2022)
- [Controlling Chaotic Maps using Next-Generation Reservoir Computing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.03813/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Reservoir computing is a best-in-class machine learning algorithm for processing information generated by dynamical systems using observed time-series data. Importantly, it requires very small training data sets, uses linear optimization, and thus requires minimal computing resources. However, the algorithm uses randomly sampled matrices to define the underlying recurrent neural network and has a multitude of metaparameters that must be optimized. Recent results demonstrate the equivalence of reservoir computing to nonlinear vector autoregression, which requires no random matrices, fewer metaparameters, and provides interpretable results. Here, we demonstrate that nonlinear vector autoregression excels at reservoir computing benchmark tasks and requires even shorter training data sets and training time, heralding the next generation of reservoir computing.
