# Evidential Turing Processes

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.01216 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.01216/

## Key facts

- Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 31 of its 52 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 2 Jun 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 31)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Library](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01703/) (2019)
- [On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04599/) (2017)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Fashion-MNIST: a Novel Image Dataset for Benchmarking Machine Learning Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1708.07747/) (2017)
- [Auto-Encoding Variational Bayes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1312.6114/) (2013)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [Benchmarking Neural Network Robustness to Common Corruptions and Perturbations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.12261/) (2019)
- [Variational Inference: A Review for Statisticians](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1601.00670/) (2016)
- [Can You Trust Your Model's Uncertainty? Evaluating Predictive Uncertainty Under Dataset Shift](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.02530/) (2019)
- [Evidential Deep Learning to Quantify Classification Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.01768/) (2018)
- [Neural Turing Machines](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1410.5401/) (2014)
- [A Simple Baseline for Bayesian Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.02476/) (2019)
- [Predictive Uncertainty Estimation via Prior Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.10501/) (2018)
- [Variational Dropout and the Local Reparameterization Trick](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02557/) (2015)
- [Conditional Neural Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.01613/) (2018)
- [Accurate Uncertainties for Deep Learning Using Calibrated Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.00263/) (2018)
- [Deep Learning for Classical Japanese Literature](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.01718/) (2018)
- [Beyond temperature scaling: Obtaining well-calibrated multiclass probabilities with Dirichlet calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.12656/) (2019)
- [Deep Evidential Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.02600/) (2019)
- [Neural Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.01622/) (2018)
- [Attentive Neural Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.05761/) (2019)
- [Variational Dropout Sparsifies Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1701.05369/) (2017)
- [Convolutional Conditional Neural Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.13556/) (2019)
- [Reverse KL-Divergence Training of Prior Networks: Improved Uncertainty and Adversarial Robustness](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.13472/) (2019)
- [Meta-Learning Stationary Stochastic Process Prediction with Convolutional Neural Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.01332/) (2020)
- [Sequential Neural Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.10264/) (2019)
- [The Functional Neural Process](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.08324/) (2019)
- [Uncertainty-Aware Deep Classifiers using Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.04183/) (2020)

## Built on by (most cited first, 8 of 8)

- [A Comprehensive Survey on Evidential Deep Learning and Its Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.04720/) (2024)
- [EdVAE: Mitigating Codebook Collapse with Evidential Discrete Variational Autoencoders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.05718/) (2023)
- [Revisiting Essential and Nonessential Settings of Evidential Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.00393/) (2024)
- [Beyond Unimodal: Generalising Neural Processes for Multimodal Uncertainty Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.01518/) (2023)
- [Evidential Conditional Neural Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.00131/) (2022)
- [Transitional Uncertainty with Layered Intermediate Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.17494/) (2024)
- [Overcoming Non-stationary Dynamics with Evidential Proximal Policy Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.01468/) (2025)
- [Continual Learning of Multi-modal Dynamics with External Memory](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.00936/) (2022)

## Abstract (arXiv)

A probabilistic classifier with reliable predictive uncertainties i) fits successfully to the target domain data, ii) provides calibrated class probabilities in difficult regions of the target domain (e.g. class overlap), and iii) accurately identifies queries coming out of the target domain and rejects them. We introduce an original combination of Evidential Deep Learning, Neural Processes, and Neural Turing Machines capable of providing all three essential properties mentioned above for total uncertainty quantification. We observe our method on five classification tasks to be the only one that can excel all three aspects of total calibration with a single standalone predictor. Our unified solution delivers an implementation-friendly and compute efficient recipe for safety clearance and provides intellectual economy to an investigation of algorithmic roots of epistemic awareness in deep neural nets.