# Estimating air quality co-benefits of energy transition using machine learning

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2105.14318 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.14318/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 6 of its 56 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 29 May 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 6 of 6)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [Batch Normalization: Accelerating Deep Network Training by Reducing Internal Covariate Shift](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1502.03167/) (2015)
- [Neural Architecture Search with Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.01578/) (2016)
- [Learning Transferable Architectures for Scalable Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.07012/) (2017)
- [Scalable Bayesian Optimization Using Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1502.05700/) (2015)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Estimating health benefits of reducing fossil fuel use from improved air quality provides important rationales for carbon emissions abatement. Simulating pollution concentration is a crucial step of the estimation, but traditional approaches often rely on complicated chemical transport models that require extensive expertise and computational resources. In this study, we develop a novel and succinct machine learning framework that is able to provide precise and robust annual average fine particle (PM2.5) concentration estimations directly from a high-resolution fossil energy use data set. The accessibility and applicability of this framework show great potentials of machine learning approaches for integrated assessment studies. Applications of the framework with Chinese data reveal highly heterogeneous health benefits of reducing fossil fuel use in different sectors and regions in China with a mean of 34/tCO2 and a standard deviation of 84/tCO2. Reducing rural and residential coal use offers the highest co-benefits with a mean of 360/tCO2. Our findings prompt careful policy designs to maximize cost-effectiveness in the transition towards a carbon-neutral energy system.