# Selective Probabilistic Classifier Based on Hypothesis Testing

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2105.03876 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.03876/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 14 of its 26 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 9 May 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 14 of 14)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [Microsoft COCO: Common Objects in Context](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1405.0312/) (2014)
- [Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02142/) (2015)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [Towards Evaluating the Robustness of Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1608.04644/) (2016)
- [Enhancing The Reliability of Out-of-distribution Image Detection in Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.02690/) (2017)
- [Selective Classification for Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.08500/) (2017)
- [Towards Open Set Deep Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1511.06233/) (2015)
- [Flipout: Efficient Pseudo-Independent Weight Perturbations on Mini-Batches](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.04386/) (2018)
- [Out-of-Distribution Detection Using an Ensemble of Self Supervised Leave-out Classifiers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.03576/) (2018)
- [Unsupervised Out-of-Distribution Detection by Maximum Classifier Discrepancy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.04951/) (2019)
- [Benchmarking the Robustness of Semantic Segmentation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.05005/) (2019)
- [DOC: Deep Open Classification of Text Documents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.08716/) (2017)
- [Towards Robust Pattern Recognition: A Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.06976/) (2020)

## Abstract (arXiv)

In this paper, we propose a simple yet effective method to deal with the violation of the Closed-World Assumption for a classifier. Previous works tend to apply a threshold either on the classification scores or the loss function to reject the inputs that violate the assumption. However, these methods cannot achieve the low False Positive Ratio (FPR) required in safety applications. The proposed method is a rejection option based on hypothesis testing with probabilistic networks. With probabilistic networks, it is possible to estimate the distribution of outcomes instead of a single output. By utilizing Z-test over the mean and standard deviation for each class, the proposed method can estimate the statistical significance of the network certainty and reject uncertain outputs. The proposed method was experimented on with different configurations of the COCO and CIFAR datasets. The performance of the proposed method is compared with the Softmax Response, which is a known top-performing method. It is shown that the proposed method can achieve a broader range of operation and cover a lower FPR than the alternative.