# LaPred: Lane-Aware Prediction of Multi-Modal Future Trajectories of Dynamic Agents

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2104.00249 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.00249/

## Key facts

- Cited by 64 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 27 of its 32 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 1 Apr 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 27 of 27)

- [nuScenes: A multimodal dataset for autonomous driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.11027/) (2019)
- [Argoverse: 3D Tracking and Forecasting with Rich Maps](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.02620/) (2019)
- [Social GAN: Socially Acceptable Trajectories with Generative Adversarial Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.10892/) (2018)
- [VectorNet: Encoding HD Maps and Agent Dynamics from Vectorized Representation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.04259/) (2020)
- [MultiPath: Multiple Probabilistic Anchor Trajectory Hypotheses for Behavior Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.05449/) (2019)
- [Learning Lane Graph Representations for Motion Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.13732/) (2020)
- [TNT: Target-driveN Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.08294/) (2020)
- [DESIRE: Distant Future Prediction in Dynamic Scenes with Interacting Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.04394/) (2017)
- [SoPhie: An Attentive GAN for Predicting Paths Compliant to Social and Physical Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.01482/) (2018)
- [Multimodal Trajectory Predictions for Autonomous Driving using Deep Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.10732/) (2018)
- [CoverNet: Multimodal Behavior Prediction using Trajectory Sets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.10298/) (2019)
- [Social-BiGAT: Multimodal Trajectory Forecasting using Bicycle-GAN and Graph Attention Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.03395/) (2019)
- [Convolutional Social Pooling for Vehicle Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.06771/) (2018)
- [Multiple Futures Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.00997/) (2019)
- [Multi-Agent Tensor Fusion for Contextual Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.04776/) (2019)
- [Diverse Trajectory Forecasting with Determinantal Point Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.04967/) (2019)
- [TPNet: Trajectory Proposal Network for Motion Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.12255/) (2020)
- [What-If Motion Prediction for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.10587/) (2020)
- [Diverse and Admissible Trajectory Forecasting through Multimodal Context Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.03212/) (2020)
- [Trajectron++: Dynamically-Feasible Trajectory Forecasting With Heterogeneous Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.03093/) (2020)
- [Sequence-to-Sequence Prediction of Vehicle Trajectory via LSTM Encoder-Decoder Architecture](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.06338/) (2018)
- [Soft + Hardwired Attention: An LSTM Framework for Human Trajectory Prediction and Abnormal Event Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.05552/) (2017)
- [DiversityGAN: Diversity-Aware Vehicle Motion Prediction via Latent Semantic Sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.12736/) (2019)
- [CAR-Net: Clairvoyant Attentive Recurrent Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.10061/) (2017)
- [Probabilistic Multi-modal Trajectory Prediction with Lane Attention for Autonomous Vehicles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.02574/) (2020)
- [A Data-driven Model for Interaction-aware Pedestrian Motion Prediction in Object Cluttered Environments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.08528/) (2017)
- [Lane Attention: Predicting Vehicles' Moving Trajectories by Learning Their Attention over Lanes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.13377/) (2019)

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 64)

- [GOHOME: Graph-Oriented Heatmap Output for future Motion Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.01827/) (2021)
- [ViP3D: End-to-end Visual Trajectory Prediction via 3D Agent Queries](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.01582/) (2022)
- [THOMAS: Trajectory Heatmap Output with learned Multi-Agent Sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.06607/) (2021)
- [M2I: From Factored Marginal Trajectory Prediction to Interactive Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.11884/) (2022)
- [LAformer: Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving with Lane-Aware Scene Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.13933/) (2023)
- [Leveraging Future Relationship Reasoning for Vehicle Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.14715/) (2023)
- [FJMP: Factorized Joint Multi-Agent Motion Prediction over Learned Directed Acyclic Interaction Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.16197/) (2022)
- [HPNet: Dynamic Trajectory Forecasting with Historical Prediction Attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.06351/) (2024)
- [The Integration of Prediction and Planning in Deep Learning Automated Driving Systems: A Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.05731/) (2023)
- [Mask2Map: Vectorized HD Map Construction Using Bird's Eye View Segmentation Masks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.13517/) (2024)
- [R-Pred: Two-Stage Motion Prediction Via Tube-Query Attention-Based Trajectory Refinement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.08609/) (2022)
- [Machine Learning for Autonomous Vehicle's Trajectory Prediction: A comprehensive survey, Challenges, and Future Research Directions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.07527/) (2023)
- [Towards Motion Forecasting with Real-World Perception Inputs: Are End-to-End Approaches Competitive?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.09281/) (2023)
- [CRAT-Pred: Vehicle Trajectory Prediction with Crystal Graph Convolutional Neural Networks and Multi-Head Self-Attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.04488/) (2022)
- [LatentFormer: Multi-Agent Transformer-Based Interaction Modeling and Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.01880/) (2022)
- [GaussRender: Learning 3D Occupancy with Gaussian Rendering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.05040/) (2025)
- [Hierarchical Latent Structure for Multi-Modal Vehicle Trajectory Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.04624/) (2022)
- [Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving: Progress, Limitations, and Future Directions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.03262/) (2025)
- [Collaborative Uncertainty Benefits Multi-Agent Multi-Modal Trajectory Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.05195/) (2022)
- [HYPER: Learned Hybrid Trajectory Prediction via Factored Inference and Adaptive Sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.02344/) (2021)
- [Diverse Multiple Trajectory Prediction Using a Two-stage Prediction Network Trained with Lane Loss](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.08641/) (2022)
- [Context-Aware Timewise VAEs for Real-Time Vehicle Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.10873/) (2023)
- [NEST: A Neuromodulated Small-world Hypergraph Trajectory Prediction Model for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.11682/) (2024)
- [Heterogeneous Trajectory Forecasting via Risk and Scene Graph Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.00848/) (2022)
- [SemanticFormer: Holistic and Semantic Traffic Scene Representation for Trajectory Prediction using Knowledge Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.19379/) (2024)
- [Curb Your Attention: Causal Attention Gating for Robust Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.07191/) (2024)
- [Multimodal Manoeuvre and Trajectory Prediction for Automated Driving on Highways Using Transformer Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.16109/) (2023)
- [Adversarial Backdoor Attack by Naturalistic Data Poisoning on Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.15755/) (2023)
- [Reviving Life on the Edge: Joint Score-Based Graph Generation of Rich Edge Attributes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.04046/) (2024)
- [DESTINE: Dynamic Goal Queries with Temporal Transductive Alignment for Trajectory Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.07438/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

In this paper, we address the problem of predicting the future motion of a dynamic agent (called a target agent) given its current and past states as well as the information on its environment. It is paramount to develop a prediction model that can exploit the contextual information in both static and dynamic environments surrounding the target agent and generate diverse trajectory samples that are meaningful in a traffic context. We propose a novel prediction model, referred to as the lane-aware prediction (LaPred) network, which uses the instance-level lane entities extracted from a semantic map to predict the multi-modal future trajectories. For each lane candidate found in the neighborhood of the target agent, LaPred extracts the joint features relating the lane and the trajectories of the neighboring agents. Then, the features for all lane candidates are fused with the attention weights learned through a self-supervised learning task that identifies the lane candidate likely to be followed by the target agent. Using the instance-level lane information, LaPred can produce the trajectories compliant with the surroundings better than 2D raster image-based methods and generate the diverse future trajectories given multiple lane candidates. The experiments conducted on the public nuScenes dataset and Argoverse dataset demonstrate that the proposed LaPred method significantly outperforms the existing prediction models, achieving state-of-the-art performance in the benchmarks.