# Combining Interventional and Observational Data Using Causal Reductions

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.04786 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.04786/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 23 of its 42 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 8 Mar 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 23 of 23)

- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Library](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01703/) (2019)
- [Variational Inference with Normalizing Flows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1505.05770/) (2015)
- [Density estimation using Real NVP](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1605.08803/) (2016)
- [Normalizing Flows for Probabilistic Modeling and Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.02762/) (2019)
- [Masked Autoregressive Flow for Density Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07057/) (2017)
- [Neural Spline Flows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.04032/) (2019)
- [Causal Effect Inference with Deep Latent-Variable Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.08821/) (2017)
- [Pyro: Deep Universal Probabilistic Programming](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.09538/) (2018)
- [Deep Structural Causal Models for Tractable Counterfactual Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.06485/) (2020)
- [Identifying Causal Effects With Proxy Variables of an Unmeasured Confounder](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.08816/) (2016)
- [Foundations of Structural Causal Models with Cycles and Latent Variables](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.06221/) (2016)
- [The Blessings of Multiple Causes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.06826/) (2018)
- [Causal Autoregressive Flows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.02268/) (2020)
- [Removing Hidden Confounding by Experimental Grounding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.11646/) (2018)
- [Invertible Generative Modeling using Linear Rational Splines](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.05168/) (2020)
- [Combining Observational and Experimental Datasets Using Shrinkage Estimators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.06708/) (2020)
- [A Class of Algorithms for General Instrumental Variable Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.06366/) (2020)
- [Using Experiments to Correct for Selection in Observational Studies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.09676/) (2020)
- [On the Testability of Causal Models with Latent and Instrumental Variables](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1302.4976/) (2013)
- [The Inflation Technique for Causal Inference with Latent Variables](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.00672/) (2016)
- [Observational-Interventional Priors for Dose-Response Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1605.01573/) (2016)
- [Propensity Score Methods for Merging Observational and Experimental Datasets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.07863/) (2018)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Unobserved confounding is one of the main challenges when estimating causal effects. We propose a causal reduction method that, given a causal model, replaces an arbitrary number of possibly high-dimensional latent confounders with a single latent confounder that takes values in the same space as the treatment variable, without changing the observational and interventional distributions the causal model entails. This allows us to estimate the causal effect in a principled way from combined data without relying on the common but often unrealistic assumption that all confounders have been observed. We apply our causal reduction in three different settings. In the first setting, we assume the treatment and outcome to be discrete. The causal reduction then implies bounds between the observational and interventional distributions that can be exploited for estimation purposes. In certain cases with highly unbalanced observational samples, the accuracy of the causal effect estimate can be improved by incorporating observational data. Second, for continuous variables and assuming a linear-Gaussian model, we derive equality constraints for the parameters of the observational and interventional distributions. Third, for the general continuous setting (possibly nonlinear and non-Gaussian), we parameterize the reduced causal model using normalizing flows, a flexible class of easily invertible nonlinear transformations. We perform a series of experiments on synthetic data and find that in several cases the number of interventional samples can be reduced when adding observational training samples without sacrificing accuracy.
