# If Only We Had Better Counterfactual Explanations: Five Key Deficits to Rectify in the Evaluation of Counterfactual XAI Techniques

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2103.01035 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.01035/

## Key facts

- Cited by 82 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 83 of its 167 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 26 Feb 2021.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 83)

- [A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07874/) (2017)
- ["Why Should I Trust You?": Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifier](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.04938/) (2016)
- [Visualizing and Understanding Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1311.2901/) (2013)
- [Towards A Rigorous Science of Interpretable Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.08608/) (2017)
- [Explanation in Artificial Intelligence: Insights from the Social Sciences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.07269/) (2017)
- [Counterfactual Explanations without Opening the Black Box: Automated Decisions and the GDPR](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.00399/) (2017)
- [The Mythos of Model Interpretability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.03490/) (2016)
- [Explaining Machine Learning Classifiers through Diverse Counterfactual Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.07697/) (2019)
- [Does the Whole Exceed its Parts? The Effect of AI Explanations on Complementary Team Performance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.14779/) (2020)
- [Actionable Recourse in Linear Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.06514/) (2018)
- [Counterfactual Visual Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.07451/) (2019)
- [Explanations based on the Missing: Towards Contrastive Explanations with Pertinent Negatives](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.07623/) (2018)
- [Metrics for Explainable AI: Challenges and Prospects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.04608/) (2018)
- [Manipulating and Measuring Model Interpretability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.07810/) (2018)
- [Algorithmic Recourse: from Counterfactual Explanations to Interventions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.06278/) (2020)
- [FACE: Feasible and Actionable Counterfactual Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.09369/) (2019)
- [Interpretable Counterfactual Explanations Guided by Prototypes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.02584/) (2019)
- [Explainable Machine Learning in Deployment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.06342/) (2019)
- [The What-If Tool: Interactive Probing of Machine Learning Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.04135/) (2019)
- [Model-Agnostic Counterfactual Explanations for Consequential Decisions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.11190/) (2019)
- [Local Rule-Based Explanations of Black Box Decision Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.10820/) (2018)
- [On Human Predictions with Explanations and Predictions of Machine Learning Models: A Case Study on Deception Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.07901/) (2018)
- [Multi-Objective Counterfactual Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.11165/) (2020)
- [Preserving Causal Constraints in Counterfactual Explanations for Machine Learning Classifiers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.03277/) (2019)
- [Algorithmic recourse under imperfect causal knowledge: a probabilistic approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.06831/) (2020)
- [Proxy Tasks and Subjective Measures Can Be Misleading in Evaluating Explainable AI Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.08298/) (2020)
- [Explaining Explanations in AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.01439/) (2018)
- [Towards Realistic Individual Recourse and Actionable Explanations in Black-Box Decision Making Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.09615/) (2019)
- [A survey of algorithmic recourse: definitions, formulations, solutions, and prospects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.04050/) (2020)
- [The Hidden Assumptions Behind Counterfactual Explanations and Principal Reasons](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.04930/) (2019)

## Built on by (most cited first, 30 of 82)

- [Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) 2.0: A Manifesto of Open Challenges and Interdisciplinary Research Directions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.19775/) (2023)
- [A Comprehensive Taxonomy for Explainable Artificial Intelligence: A Systematic Survey of Surveys on Methods and Concepts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.07190/) (2021)
- [NICE: An Algorithm for Nearest Instance Counterfactual Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.07411/) (2021)
- [Scientific Fact-Checking: A Survey of Resources and Approaches](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.16859/) (2023)
- [Counterfactual Shapley Additive Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.14270/) (2021)
- [Attribution-based Explanations that Provide Recourse Cannot be Robust](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.15834/) (2022)
- [Even if Explanations: Prior Work, Desiderata & Benchmarks for Semi-Factual XAI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.11970/) (2023)
- [A Framework and Benchmarking Study for Counterfactual Generating Methods on Tabular Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.04680/) (2021)
- [GANterfactual-RL: Understanding Reinforcement Learning Agents' Strategies through Visual Counterfactual Explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.12689/) (2023)
- [Uncertainty Estimation and Out-of-Distribution Detection for Counterfactual Explanations: Pitfalls and Solutions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.09734/) (2021)
- [An Objective Metric for Explainable AI: How and Why to Estimate the Degree of Explainability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.05327/) (2021)
- [Features of Explainability: How users understand counterfactual and causal explanations for categorical and continuous features in XAI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.10152/) (2022)
- [Natural Example-Based Explainability: a Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.03234/) (2023)
- [Counterfactual Explanations for Misclassified Images: How Human and Machine Explanations Differ](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.08733/) (2022)
- [Human-Centric Artificial Intelligence Architecture for Industry 5.0 Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.10794/) (2022)
- [Keep Your Friends Close and Your Counterfactuals Closer: Improved Learning From Closest Rather Than Plausible Counterfactual Explanations in an Abstract Setting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.05515/) (2022)
- [Counterfactual Explanations with Probabilistic Guarantees on their Robustness to Model Change](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.04842/) (2024)
- [Let's Go to the Alien Zoo: Introducing an Experimental Framework to Study Usability of Counterfactual Explanations for Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.03398/) (2022)
- [Shapelet-Based Counterfactual Explanations for Multivariate Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.10462/) (2022)
- [GAM Coach: Towards Interactive and User-centered Algorithmic Recourse](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.14165/) (2023)
- [Explaining Groups of Instances Counterfactually for XAI: A Use Case, Algorithm and User Study for Group-Counterfactuals](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.09297/) (2023)
- [A Survey on Methods and Metrics for the Assessment of Explainability under the Proposed AI Act](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.11168/) (2021)
- [Solving the Class Imbalance Problem Using a Counterfactual Method for Data Augmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.03516/) (2021)
- [Ask to Know More: Generating Counterfactual Explanations for Fake Claims](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.04869/) (2022)
- [Explaining Classifications to Non Experts: An XAI User Study of Post Hoc Explanations for a Classifier When People Lack Expertise](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.09342/) (2022)
- [Evaluating Explanations Through LLMs: Beyond Traditional User Studies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.17781/) (2024)
- [Towards Unifying Evaluation of Counterfactual Explanations: Leveraging Large Language Models for Human-Centric Assessments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.21131/) (2024)
- [Benchmarking Instance-Centric Counterfactual Algorithms for XAI: From White Box to Black Box](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.02399/) (2022)
- [Alterfactual Explanations -- The Relevance of Irrelevance for Explaining AI Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.09374/) (2022)
- [DeDUCE: Generating Counterfactual Explanations Efficiently](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.15639/) (2021)

## Abstract (arXiv)

In recent years, there has been an explosion of AI research on counterfactual explanations as a solution to the problem of eXplainable AI (XAI). These explanations seem to offer technical, psychological and legal benefits over other explanation techniques. We survey 100 distinct counterfactual explanation methods reported in the literature. This survey addresses the extent to which these methods have been adequately evaluated, both psychologically and computationally, and quantifies the shortfalls occurring. For instance, only 21% of these methods have been user tested. Five key deficits in the evaluation of these methods are detailed and a roadmap, with standardised benchmark evaluations, is proposed to resolve the issues arising; issues, that currently effectively block scientific progress in this field.