# Score Matched Neural Exponential Families for Likelihood-Free Inference

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2012.10903 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.10903/

## Key facts

- Cited by 21 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 20 Dec 2020.

## Built on by (most cited first, 21 of 21)

- [Sequential Neural Score Estimation: Likelihood-Free Inference with Conditional Score Based Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.04872/) (2022)
- [Detecting Model Misspecification in Amortized Bayesian Inference with Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.08866/) (2021)
- [JANA: Jointly Amortized Neural Approximation of Complex Bayesian Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.09125/) (2023)
- [Neural Methods for Amortized Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.12484/) (2024)
- [A Trust Crisis In Simulation-Based Inference? Your Posterior Approximations Can Be Unfaithful](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.06581/) (2021)
- [Towards Reliable Simulation-Based Inference with Balanced Neural Ratio Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.13624/) (2022)
- [Consistency Models for Scalable and Fast Simulation-Based Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.05440/) (2023)
- [Proper scoring rules for estimation and forecast evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.01781/) (2025)
- [Leveraging Self-Consistency for Data-Efficient Amortized Bayesian Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.04395/) (2023)
- [Contrastive Conditional Neural Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.03978/) (2022)
- [Misspecification-robust Sequential Neural Likelihood for Simulation-based Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.13368/) (2023)
- [Simulation-based Inference for High-dimensional Data using Surjective Sequential Neural Likelihood Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.01054/) (2023)
- [Detecting Model Misspecification in Amortized Bayesian Inference with Neural Networks: An Extended Investigation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.03154/) (2024)
- [Maximum Likelihood Learning of Unnormalized Models for Simulation-Based Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.14756/) (2022)
- [Quasi-Bayes meets Vines](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.12764/) (2024)
- [Classification via score-based generative modelling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.11091/) (2022)
- [Simulation-based Inference with the Generalized Kullback-Leibler Divergence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.01808/) (2023)
- [Dimension reduction via score ratio matching](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.19990/) (2024)
- [Causal Posterior Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.21468/) (2025)
- [GenUQ: Predictive Uncertainty Estimates via Generative Hyper-Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.21605/) (2025)
- [Gaussian Process Tilted Nonparametric Density Estimation using Fisher Divergence Score Matching](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.03485/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Bayesian Likelihood-Free Inference (LFI) approaches allow to obtain posterior distributions for stochastic models with intractable likelihood, by relying on model simulations. In Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC), a popular LFI method, summary statistics are used to reduce data dimensionality. ABC algorithms adaptively tailor simulations to the observation in order to sample from an approximate posterior, whose form depends on the chosen statistics. In this work, we introduce a new way to learn ABC statistics: we first generate parameter-simulation pairs from the model independently on the observation; then, we use Score Matching to train a neural conditional exponential family to approximate the likelihood. The exponential family is the largest class of distributions with fixed-size sufficient statistics; thus, we use them in ABC, which is intuitively appealing and has state-of-the-art performance. In parallel, we insert our likelihood approximation in an MCMC for doubly intractable distributions to draw posterior samples. We can repeat that for any number of observations with no additional model simulations, with performance comparable to related approaches. We validate our methods on toy models with known likelihood and a large-dimensional time-series model.
