# Off-Policy Interval Estimation with Lipschitz Value Iteration

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2010.15392 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.15392/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 29 Oct 2020.

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [A Unified Framework for Alternating Offline Model Training and Policy Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.05922/) (2022)
- [Non-asymptotic Confidence Intervals of Off-policy Evaluation: Primal and Dual Bounds](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.05741/) (2021)
- [Coarse-Grained Smoothness for RL in Metric Spaces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.12276/) (2021)
- [Out-of-Distribution-Aware Electric Vehicle Charging](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.05941/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Off-policy evaluation provides an essential tool for evaluating the effects of different policies or treatments using only observed data. When applied to high-stakes scenarios such as medical diagnosis or financial decision-making, it is crucial to provide provably correct upper and lower bounds of the expected reward, not just a classical single point estimate, to the end-users, as executing a poor policy can be very costly. In this work, we propose a provably correct method for obtaining interval bounds for off-policy evaluation in a general continuous setting. The idea is to search for the maximum and minimum values of the expected reward among all the Lipschitz Q-functions that are consistent with the observations, which amounts to solving a constrained optimization problem on a Lipschitz function space. We go on to introduce a Lipschitz value iteration method to monotonically tighten the interval, which is simple yet efficient and provably convergent. We demonstrate the practical efficiency of our method on a range of benchmarks.
