# Augmented Convolutional LSTMs for Generation of High-Resolution Climate Change Projections

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.11279 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.11279/

## Key facts

- Cited by 9 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- First posted on arXiv 23 Sep 2020.

## Built on by (most cited first, 9 of 9)

- [Hard-Constrained Deep Learning for Climate Downscaling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.05424/) (2022)
- [Knowledge-guided Machine Learning: Current Trends and Future Prospects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.15989/) (2024)
- [Regression modelling of spatiotemporal extreme U.S. wildfires via partially-interpretable neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.07581/) (2022)
- [On the modern deep learning approaches for precipitation downscaling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.00808/) (2022)
- [Evaluating the transferability potential of deep learning models for climate downscaling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.12517/) (2024)
- [Climate Variable Downscaling with Conditional Normalizing Flows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.20719/) (2024)
- [Machine learning for Earth System Science (ESS): A survey, status and future directions for South Asia](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.12966/) (2021)
- [DL4DS -- Deep Learning for empirical DownScaling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.08967/) (2022)
- [Time-aware UNet and super-resolution deep residual networks for spatial downscaling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.13753/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Projection of changes in extreme indices of climate variables such as temperature and precipitation are critical to assess the potential impacts of climate change on human-made and natural systems, including critical infrastructures and ecosystems. While impact assessment and adaptation planning rely on high-resolution projections (typically in the order of a few kilometers), state-of-the-art Earth System Models (ESMs) are available at spatial resolutions of few hundreds of kilometers. Current solutions to obtain high-resolution projections of ESMs include downscaling approaches that consider the information at a coarse-scale to make predictions at local scales. Complex and non-linear interdependence among local climate variables (e.g., temperature and precipitation) and large-scale predictors (e.g., pressure fields) motivate the use of neural network-based super-resolution architectures. In this work, we present auxiliary variables informed spatio-temporal neural architecture for statistical downscaling. The current study performs daily downscaling of precipitation variable from an ESM output at 1.15 degrees (~115 km) to 0.25 degrees (25 km) over the world's most climatically diversified country, India. We showcase significant improvement gain against three popular state-of-the-art baselines with a better ability to predict extreme events. To facilitate reproducible research, we make available all the codes, processed datasets, and trained models in the public domain.
